California (UC Berkeley): Biden +15%

[Redban]

https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2023-11-08/biden-support-down-sharply-among-california-voters-for-first-time-in-presidency-poll-shows

UC Berkeley poll

Head to head
Biden 46
Trump 31

Whole field:

Biden 43
Trump 29
Kennedy 9
West 4

Article says RFK Jr is getting Trump and Biden supporters equally. But West is taking votes from Biden supporters

[Sir Mohamed]

Alright, we have enough of the trash polls.

[DrScholl]

Redban is really trying to cope with his beloved church getting crushed in elections last night.

[Mr.Barkari Sellers]

I know he doesn't volunteer for Trump or donate to him he just post polls of Biden losing and these aren't even votes along with Matty and Redban

If Trump was really ahead won't all the polls show him winning, they dont

[Redban]

ITT - Biden supporters are mad

But I thought a narrow margin in California was good for you? It could mean the narrow national popular vote margin is a consequence of Trump's gains in Cali instead of GA, AZ, WI, MI, PA, NC, NV

[Mr.Barkari Sellers]

ITT - Biden supporters are mad

But I thought a narrow margin in California was good for you? It could mean the narrow national popular vote margin is a consequence of Trump's gains in Cali instead of GA, AZ, WI, MI, PA, NC, NV

We aren't mad we just won, what does it take for you it's polls not votes , we still have to vote

[DrScholl]

ITT - Biden supporters are mad

But I thought a narrow margin in California was good for you? It could mean the narrow national popular vote margin is a consequence of Trump's gains in Cali instead of GA, AZ, WI, MI, PA, NC, NV

No one is mad, you are just coping and want somebody to be mad. Trump will reach at minimum 31%, but the actual result will pan out to something like 62-35 Biden and that's just the reality of it. Left leaners often are more undecided in California polling than right-wingers.

[wbrocks67]

Hm, this poll also has Gavin Newsom's approval literally underwater in California as well, which is.... skeptical at the very least.

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: California President by Berkeley IGS on 2023-10-30

Summary: D: 43%, R: 29%, U: 15%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[jaichind]

Maybe it has something to do with

[TheTide]

As is usually the case with trash polls, there is at least a grain of believability in it. In this case it is Trump at 31%.

[jaichind]

ITT - Biden supporters are mad

But I thought a narrow margin in California was good for you? It could mean the narrow national popular vote margin is a consequence of Trump's gains in Cali instead of GA, AZ, WI, MI, PA, NC, NV

I read this poll as bad news for Trump.  His EC-PV advantage in this cycle will be weaker than in 2020.  As a Trump supporter, I prefer Trump to be tied or ahead in national polling but way behind in CA and NY, and Biden not that far behind in TX and FL.

[Conservative Progressive]

It's California, I see no reason not to believe that the majority of the undecideds will break for Biden.

[wbrocks67]

New Poll: California President by Berkeley IGS on 2023-10-30

Summary: D: 43%, R: 29%, U: 15%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

This is a .. strange breakdown in a state where D/Rs are like 50-23 in registration