French Presidential Election; 2nd round thread (user search)
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  French Presidential Election; 2nd round thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: French Presidential Election; 2nd round thread  (Read 93832 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« on: April 28, 2007, 02:00:56 AM »
I think Sarkozy will win the second round with 53,4% to Royals 46,6%.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #1 on: May 01, 2007, 10:54:33 AM »
For the German speaking members here (= Lewis):

ARTE will live stream the debate on its website tomorrow at 9pm with German simultaneous translation Smiley Smiley Smiley
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #2 on: May 01, 2007, 11:04:45 AM »
Quote from: Lewis Trondheim on May 01, 2007, 10:58:53 AM
Quote from: Harry Haller on May 01, 2007, 10:54:33 AM
For the German speaking members here (= Lewis):

ARTE will live stream the debate on its website tomorrow at 9pm with German simultaneous translation Smiley Smiley Smiley
Thanks, I speak French well enough. I'd much prefer for them to simply air it live on tv.

Well thats good for you, because I just speak English, German and Italian fluently. But anyway, TV5 is broadcasting it live in French. ARTE just on its website. Smiley
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #3 on: May 01, 2007, 11:06:42 AM »
Quote from: Michael Z on May 01, 2007, 11:04:03 AM
Quote from: Harry Haller on May 01, 2007, 10:54:33 AM
For the German speaking members here (= Lewis)Sad

Don't forget about me! Smiley

Hab nicht gewusst, dass du auch deutsch sprichst ! Wink
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #4 on: May 02, 2007, 12:40:30 AM »
Quote from: Keystone Phil on May 02, 2007, 12:00:32 AM
Quote from: Keystone Phil on May 01, 2007, 04:58:54 PM
Does anyone know what time the debate will begin for us folks on the East Coast across the pond?  Smiley  Also, will France 24 be covering this debate online? I'd love to watch a live stream.

The debate begins at 3 pm your time. I donŽt know if France 24 will show it, their website says nothing ... Just watch ARTE TV or TV5 instead Wink
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #5 on: May 02, 2007, 12:58:16 AM »
« Edited: May 02, 2007, 01:00:31 AM by Harry Haller »
Quote from: Keystone Phil on May 02, 2007, 12:52:30 AM
Quote from: Harry Haller on May 02, 2007, 12:40:30 AM
Quote from: Keystone Phil on May 02, 2007, 12:00:32 AM
Quote from: Keystone Phil on May 01, 2007, 04:58:54 PM
Does anyone know what time the debate will begin for us folks on the East Coast across the pond?  Smiley  Also, will France 24 be covering this debate online? I'd love to watch a live stream.

The debate begins at 3 pm your time. I donŽt know if France 24 will show it, their website says nothing ... Just watch ARTE TV or TV5 instead Wink

I'm sure I'll get a lot of questions at work as to what the hell I am watching.  Tongue

Watch out ! As a PA Republican you'll probably get lynched for watching a "FRENCH" debate. Get your Freedom fries ready ... Wink
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #6 on: May 02, 2007, 02:00:49 PM »
Debate starts right now.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #7 on: May 02, 2007, 02:11:54 PM »
Royal attacks Sarkozy on the increase of violence during his time as Interior minister, Sarkozy conters with blaming Royal's Socialist predecessors for the increase.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #8 on: May 02, 2007, 02:15:43 PM »
Royal lays out her plans for the public service sector.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #9 on: May 02, 2007, 02:19:45 PM »
Sarkozy talks how to deal with sexual predators and juvenile criminals. Royal gives "rape example."
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #10 on: May 02, 2007, 02:32:42 PM »
Royal talks about her plans to speed up France's economic growth, benefits for small companies, reduction of the debt, Sarkozy accuses her of being superficial and she should talk so that "the French people are able to follow her talk". Sarkozy wants to strengthen the image of "work", critisizes the 35-hour-week.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #11 on: May 02, 2007, 03:39:25 PM »
Royal is pretty busy to bridge the Nuclear-Alternative-Discussion, because she looks for the votes of the far-left and Greens which hate Nuclear energy. Therefor Sarkozy is now aggresively lobbying for the nuclear industry Tongue
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #12 on: May 02, 2007, 04:04:03 PM »
Quote from: Keystone Phil on May 02, 2007, 03:59:00 PM
Ah, poor Segolene, getting all worked up.

"No, I will not calm down."

Remember that line, folks. Madame Royal just lost the election. It's over.

A lively debate ... Tongue
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #13 on: May 03, 2007, 03:59:04 AM »
Quote from: Gustaf on May 03, 2007, 03:44:30 AM
Anyone else who can give opinions on the outcome? I only saw some excerpts of it. Swedish media which is extremely partisan called it as a Royal victory but they're about as clueless as always.

WeŽll have to watch the next polls, but I still believe Sarkozy will win with between 53-55% on Sunday.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #14 on: May 04, 2007, 06:56:52 AM »
My latest prediction:

Sarkozy: 55.2%
Royal: 44.8%
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #15 on: May 05, 2007, 01:21:50 AM »
I revise my latest prediction upwards and now predict:

Sarkozy: 56,2%
Royal: 43,8%
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #16 on: May 06, 2007, 08:17:57 AM »
Question to Umengus:

Will Belgian and Swiss TV stations again publish exit polls in advance, shortly after 6pm ?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #17 on: May 06, 2007, 10:07:46 AM »
Turnout was 75.11% @ 5pm. About 1% higher than in the 1st round 2 weeks ago.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #18 on: May 06, 2007, 10:28:55 AM »
Quote from: Gully Foyle on May 06, 2007, 10:14:16 AM
Quote from: Free Alan! on May 06, 2007, 10:12:05 AM
It'll either be surprisingly close, or Sarkozy will win by a larger than expected margin.

That's what it looks like.

I'm still hoping on a shock Royal win though.

(When are the results announced - 9:00?)

In half an hour (unofficial Swiss/Belgian TV estimates) and then in 2.5 hours (official French Exit polls and projections) Smiley
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #19 on: May 06, 2007, 10:37:23 AM »
RTBF, a Belgian TV channel has a first (unofficial) 5pm estimate:

Sarkozy: 53%
Royal: 47%

http://evenement.rtbf.be/

Closer than I thought ...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #20 on: May 06, 2007, 10:51:11 AM »
LeSoir (Belgian Newspaper) reports 54% for Sarkozy.

http://www.lesoir.be/

TSR (Switzerland) reports 53-54% for Sarkozy.

http://tsr.blogs.com/info/
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #21 on: May 06, 2007, 10:53:21 AM »
86% Total Turnout Estimate

http://tsr.blogs.com/info/
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #22 on: May 06, 2007, 10:59:16 AM »
SF (Swiss TV) reports Sarkozy won with 53-55%.

http://tagesschau.sf.tv/nachrichten/archiv/2007/05/06/international/sarkozy_klar_vor_royal
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #23 on: May 06, 2007, 11:24:44 AM »
It is likely now that Sarkozy gets more than 20 Million votes ...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #24 on: May 06, 2007, 01:10:08 PM »
Dept. of Lozère for Sarkozy (55,74%)
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