Tony Blair never becomes an MP

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robocop:
Tony Boy never gets elected in the first place, how different would the timeline look? Does this change any elections in the 80s and 90s and 2000s? Who becomes Labour leader in 1994 or does the butterfly effect make John Smith never become leader to begin with? Do they win elections by landslide majorities and stay in power for thirteen years?
How different is the zeitgeist of the UK throughout this alternate timeline?

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