How did Trump come so close to winning in 2020 given the macro circumstances? (user search)
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  How did Trump come so close to winning in 2020 given the macro circumstances? (search mode)
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Author Topic: How did Trump come so close to winning in 2020 given the macro circumstances?  (Read 4872 times)
Pericles
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« on: September 11, 2023, 08:01:26 PM »

Covid was a different kind of economic crisis to the GFC. It did not cause much financial hardship until the supply chain disruptions ended up leading to price impacts 1-2 years later.

Across the world, the pandemic in 2020 and 2021 created a dynamic that strongly favored incumbents. If Trump had not gone full Covid denier and failed to measure up to expected crisis leadership, he absolutely would have won.

I do think Democrats overstepped politically on criminal justice (though as pointed out, Trump's BLM position was also unpopular and seen as causing unrest). However, in hindsight Trump's approval was strong enough despite everything that a Biden +8% landslide wasn't really on the cards. A bit of a safer margin in the swing states and an extra Senate seat would have been nice though.
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