My starting point 2024 electoral map

[JRP1994]

Color shading: Safe, Likely, True Battleground

[WalterWhite]

Color shading: Safe, Likely, True Battleground

You are NOT alone in thinking this. This is what most political pundits think.

[The Economy is Getting Worse]

So, basically the 2020 map, with 0-5 as true battlground, 5-10 as likely, and 10+ as safe.

[JRP1994]

So, basically the 2020 map, with 0-5 as true battlground, 5-10 as likely, and 10+ as safe.

Similar but big difference is Florida. I think Florida has moved out of the true battleground category now

[The Economy is Getting Worse]

So, basically the 2020 map, with 0-5 as true battlground, 5-10 as likely, and 10+ as safe.

Similar but big difference is Florida. I think Florida has moved out of the true battleground category now

Yeah I think Florida is out of reach for the president race. It's still in play for Senate, though an uphill battle (Biden giving up on Florida is good for DMP's chances, as Biden is a huge drag there). Could end up like a reverse 2016 scenario where the Senate/Presidential margins switch (and Miami-Dade is now 20 points bluer in the Senate than President, than vice versa).