Biden launches $25M ad blitz in battleground states
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  Biden launches $25M ad blitz in battleground states
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Author Topic: Biden launches $25M ad blitz in battleground states  (Read 1268 times)
The Economy is Getting Worse
riverwalk3
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« Reply #25 on: August 20, 2023, 05:18:17 PM »


Yeah, the best thing Biden can do right now is while the GOP continue to fight each other, continue to run positive ads about himself nonstop
The problem is that Biden is like DeSantis: the more people see him, the less they like him.

Responding to the article's premise that Biden's trying to appeal to minorities, Biden is uniquely toxic with minority voters. I don't think it's so much they're trending right than Biden is just a very bad candidate; I don't think their right trend has much to do with Trump's appeal to them. Attacking Trump is probably much smarter than showing Biden to these voters, which just turns more off.

Investing in Florida won't work for this reason; any other Democrat (even Harris) could probably could make Florida competitive (perhaps enough for a good fit like Mucarsel-Powell to outrun the top of the ticket by enough to beat Rick Scott), in the same way how Obama/Clinton managed to make it very competitive.

Georgia is likely going to slip off the map too with Biden falling hard with black voters, and possibly Arizona as well with Biden's collapse with Hispanics (there is a larger margin of error in Nevada, but that too is in danger of falling with Biden's poor numbers with minority voters).

What actual evidence do you have for the bolded part?  Actually appears to be quite the opposite - whenever there's a State of the Union, his numbers go up.
Biden's favorables were 10 points higher in 2020 than now - when he wasn't really campaigning. In fact, they went up the most during COVID - his favorable were net negative before COVID started, and was at 52 by the time the election rolled around. His peak was during his honeymoon in 2021, when COVID was still a salient issue and Biden was still not going out much.
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #26 on: August 20, 2023, 05:59:47 PM »


Yeah, the best thing Biden can do right now is while the GOP continue to fight each other, continue to run positive ads about himself nonstop
The problem is that Biden is like DeSantis: the more people see him, the less they like him.

Responding to the article's premise that Biden's trying to appeal to minorities, Biden is uniquely toxic with minority voters. I don't think it's so much they're trending right than Biden is just a very bad candidate; I don't think their right trend has much to do with Trump's appeal to them. Attacking Trump is probably much smarter than showing Biden to these voters, which just turns more off.

Investing in Florida won't work for this reason; any other Democrat (even Harris) could probably could make Florida competitive (perhaps enough for a good fit like Mucarsel-Powell to outrun the top of the ticket by enough to beat Rick Scott), in the same way how Obama/Clinton managed to make it very competitive.

Georgia is likely going to slip off the map too with Biden falling hard with black voters, and possibly Arizona as well with Biden's collapse with Hispanics (there is a larger margin of error in Nevada, but that too is in danger of falling with Biden's poor numbers with minority voters).
Uh...no.

Apathy =/= unlikability. People are apathetic towards him because he's a boring old guy.
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Interlocutor
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #27 on: August 20, 2023, 06:57:41 PM »

Georgia is likely going to slip off the map too with Biden falling hard with black voters, and possibly Arizona as well with Biden's collapse with Hispanics (there is a larger margin of error in Nevada, but that too is in danger of falling with Biden's poor numbers with minority voters).


Arizona & Nevada Hispanics ≠ Florida & RGV Hispanics
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #28 on: August 20, 2023, 07:05:19 PM »

Georgia is likely going to slip off the map too with Biden falling hard with black voters, and possibly Arizona as well with Biden's collapse with Hispanics (there is a larger margin of error in Nevada, but that too is in danger of falling with Biden's poor numbers with minority voters).


Arizona & Nevada Hispanics ≠ Florida & RGV Hispanics

Miami-Dade County and the RGV were not the only places in the country where Hispanics swung hard right. We saw the same thing play out in New York City, North Jersey, LA and Houston.

The thing helping Biden in AZ is that the backlash to Trump's election denialism will likely be especially strong there.
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xavier110
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« Reply #29 on: August 20, 2023, 07:40:33 PM »
« Edited: August 20, 2023, 07:45:18 PM by xavier110 »

How about you donate that money to me instead of for FL ads? Thx. You will get better press and move the needle by giving a Joe Schmo one million dollars than setting it on fire in FL.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #30 on: August 20, 2023, 07:48:49 PM »

How about you donate that money to me instead of for FL ads? Thx. You will get better press and move the needle by giving a Joe Schmo one million dollars than setting it on fire in FL.

If Biden can keep Florida to only a 3 point margin like he did in 2020 there’s a chance Rick Scott goes down.
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