Could 2024 the first competitive election where the electoral map doesn’t change at all?

[TheReckoning]

Thinking about it, I think it’s definitely possible that no state flips in 2024. This would be the second time this ever happened, the first being 1792, but that election (nor its preceding election) were competitive.

What do you think?

[Meatball Slayer]

Thinking about it, I think it’s definitely possible that no state flips in 2024. This would be the second time this ever happened, the first being 1792, but that election (nor its preceding election) were competitive.

What do you think?

It’s possible, but every time people say that, 5 states end up flipping.

[E-Dawg]

Thinking about it, I think it’s definitely possible that no state flips in 2024. This would be the second time this ever happened, the first being 1792, but that election (nor its preceding election) were competitive.

What do you think?

It’s possible, but every time people say that, 5 states end up flipping.

The only elections i can think of where there was a serious chance of no states flipping was probably 1888 (Harrison flipped only New York and Indiana, both extremely narrowly) and 2004 (all 3 flips were very narrow) Do you have any other elections in mind there this could of happened with relativity small changes?

[Ferguson97]

Thinking about it, I think it’s definitely possible that no state flips in 2024. This would be the second time this ever happened, the first being 1792, but that election (nor its preceding election) were competitive.

What do you think?

It’s possible, but every time people say that, 5 states end up flipping.

The only elections i can think of where there was a serious chance of no states flipping was probably 1888 (Harrison flipped only New York and Indiana, both extremely narrowly) and 2004 (all 3 flips were very narrow) Do you have any other elections in mind there this could of happened with relativity small changes?

In 2012, Obama kept every state he won in 2008 except Indiana (which was a fluke anyway), North Carolina, and Nebraska's 2nd district.

[E-Dawg]

Thinking about it, I think it’s definitely possible that no state flips in 2024. This would be the second time this ever happened, the first being 1792, but that election (nor its preceding election) were competitive.

What do you think?

It’s possible, but every time people say that, 5 states end up flipping.

The only elections i can think of where there was a serious chance of no states flipping was probably 1888 (Harrison flipped only New York and Indiana, both extremely narrowly) and 2004 (all 3 flips were very narrow) Do you have any other elections in mind there this could of happened with relativity small changes?

In 2012, Obama kept every state he won in 2008 except Indiana (which was a fluke anyway), North Carolina, and Nebraska's 2nd district.

Indiana flipped by a massive 11 point margin, which disqualifies it from being a hold that could have happened with only small shifts from the irl results. The 1956 election has the same problem (LA, WV, KY went for Eisenhower by at least 8 point margin).

[Progressive Pessimist]

It's definitely possible-every pattern exists until it doesn't.

[The Mikado]

2000-2004 had 3 states flip. 2008-2012 had 2 states flip. Very small flips are definitely possible. 0 on the dot is hard but COULD happen.

[Mr. Smith]

Possible, yes...but I'm pretty sure either Biden improves enough to flip NC or flubs enough to lose one of NV or Wisconsin first atp.