Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
Posts: 16,663
Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78
|
 |
« on: May 08, 2007, 08:48:22 PM » |
|
|
« edited: May 08, 2007, 08:50:26 PM by Verily »
|
Mississippi: Strong GOP
Louisiana: Lean GOP
Kentucky: Lean Dem
Even if Anne Northup wins the primary (which looks unlikely, given that she trailed in both primary polls we've seen), she is not the conservative-populist kind of Republican who can win over leftist rural Kentucky. She'd probably do better somewhere like Ohio that is less Republican but has more suburbs to draw from. Fletcher would lose badly to any of the leading Democrats.
Louisiana is only Lean GOP because we don't know the Democratic candidate yet and because the demographics of Louisiana are unpredictable so poll weighting may be inaccurate. Finally, Jindal lost in 2003 largely due to racism; we may see that repeat in 2007.
|
