European Parliament elections, June 2024

[Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese]

Turnout in Hungary at 3 pm is 42% (!). Final turnout might reach 60%.

Hungary also has local elections today, which might be having a positive effect on turn-out there.

[President Johnson]

Just came back from the voting booth. In addition to the European parliament election, my state today also holds local elections for city council, county council and other local elections. I even had to wait in line for about five minutes in the afternoon (which unlike in the US is barely the case here).

Obviously voted SPD up and down the ballot. For city and county council, you have the number of seats available as votes, but only up to three per candidate. Voted mostly for a bunch of young folks and women I personally know. Earlier this year, I was also asked to stand as SPD candidate for city council, because I felt that I didn't have the time necessary to put a real effort into it. I did help out in the campaign though.




For city and county council, there's a ballot for each party list. I only voted for SPD candidates.

[oldtimer]

Greek Exit Poll Leaks (the numbers should change, and greek exit polls have been notoriously bad).

ND 30.5
Kasselakis 16.5
PASOK 12.5
Communists 8.5
Velopoulos 8
Nikki 4
Konstatopoulou 3.5

No one else above 3

Very low turnout so far to match the very boring campaign.

[Estrella]

Turnout in Hungary at 3 pm is 42% (!). Final turnout might reach 60%.

Hungary also has local elections today, which might be having a positive effect on turn-out there.

Which include an absurd episode in Budapest that involves the official Fidesz candidate withdrawing from the race after a total car crash of a campaign against the incumbent left-liberal mayor, followed by Orbán declaring he voted for some random guy standing for a green party which is a part of the opposition coalition but has long been suspected to be secretly in cahoots with Fidesz.

The turnout increase is still incredible though; in the last local elections it was only 49%.

[Mike88]

Portugal, Turnout update: (compared with previous elections at the same hour)

4pm

2024: 27.89% (+4.52%)
2019: 23.37%
2014: 26.31%
2009: 26.82%
2004: 27.19%

[Tirnam]

5pm turnout in France : 45,26%, up 2 points compared with 2019.

Final turnout projections by the pollsters: between 52-53%

[Logical]

Austrian exit poll

[President Johnson]

Germany had 32% turnout at noon and in person. There's a record participation for mail-in-voting.

[President Johnson]

Exit poll for Germany:

[oldtimer]

Official Greek Exit Polls:

ND 30
Kasselakis 16.5
PASOK 12.5
Communists 9
Velopoulos 9
Nikki 4
Konstantopoulou 3.5
Insane Supermodel 3

Everyone else under 3%.

Turnout under 40%.

Greek Exit Polls usually miss, so we'll see.

[President Johnson]

Official Greek Exit Polls:

ND 30
Kasselakis 16.5
PASOK 12.5
Communists 9
Velopoulos 9
Nikki 4
Konstantopoulou 3.5
Insane Supermodel 3

Everyone else under 3%.

Turnout under 40%.

Greek Exit Polls usually miss, so we'll see.

It's really incredible how remarkably stable support for KKE has been around ten percent over multiple decades now.

[Logical]

Official Greek Exit Polls:

ND 30
Kasselakis 16.5
PASOK 12.5
Communists 9
Velopoulos 9
Nikki 4
Konstantopoulou 3.5
Insane Supermodel 3

Everyone else under 3%.

Turnout under 40%.

Greek Exit Polls usually miss, so we'll see.

It's really incredible how remarkably stable support for KKE has been around ten percent over multiple decades now.

Similar to Japanese Communists their voters are literally just the children of reds from the Civil War.

[Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan]

To be honest I don't know if anyone in Poland cares that much about those elections (I do not tbh). As for now we have only data regarding turnout for 12 pm:

12 pm 2024: 11,66%
12 pm 2019: 14,39%

[Logical]

Strong results for Volt. The children yearn to be led by pan-European aristocrats once more.

[oldtimer]

Official Greek Exit Polls:

ND 30
Kasselakis 16.5
PASOK 12.5
Communists 9
Velopoulos 9
Nikki 4
Konstantopoulou 3.5
Insane Supermodel 3

Everyone else under 3%.

Turnout under 40%.

Greek Exit Polls usually miss, so we'll see.

It's really incredible how remarkably stable support for KKE has been around ten percent over multiple decades now.

Similar to Japanese Communists their voters are literally just the children of reds from the Civil War.

Mostly Correct.

First results from Greece also show very strong regional differences, so I don't know if the Exit Polls are correct.

[Storr]

Germany had 32% turnout at noon and in person. There's a record participation for mail-in-voting.

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen projecting record turnout:

Germany, European Parliament electoral history:

Final turnout

1979: 65.7%
1984: 56.8%
1989: 62.3%
1994: 60.0%
1999: 45.2%
2004: 43.0%
2009: 43.3%
2014: 48.1%
2019: 61.4%
2024: 66%

[Antonio the Sixth]

So turnout seems to be up everywhere, except in Italy. Interesting.

[Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan]

Apparently some sh**tty Youtuber is polling third according to exit polls in Cyprus.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fidias_Panayiotou

On October 20, 2023, he continued with a video on travelling across Japan for free with three other YouTubers. He would travel on public transportation modes such as buses and trains while skipping on paying for his fare through various means, and begging for cash. He would also pass himself off as a guest of a hotel that he was not staying at to help himself to its breakfast.

[President Johnson]

Strong results for Volt. The children yearn to be led by pan-European aristocrats once more.

Definitely. I guess most are disaffected SPD and Green voters.

[oldtimer]

First Greek Results show ND collapsing by more than the Exit Poll, Kasselakis might win somewhere simply by falling less.

[Mike88]

Turnout seems to be "stalling" in Portugal: At 6pm, 34% had cast a ballot. One hour until polls close in mainland Portugal and Madeira, and two hours in the Azores. It doesn't seem likely that, nationwide, turnout will surpass 40%.

[It's Perro Sanxe wot won it]

It’s quite ridiculous how the release of actual results is embargoed until 23:00PM to respect EU-wide voting but simultaneously exit polls are released according to national poll closing times. German media isn’t even prevented from doing their usual projections (based on real results).

[Mike88]

Turnout seems to be "stalling" in Portugal: At 6pm, 34% had cast a ballot. One hour until polls close in mainland Portugal and Madeira, and two hours in the Azores. It doesn't seem likely that, nationwide, turnout will surpass 40%.

Just a correction: Not sure if the "National voters" include the 1,5 million overseas voters, if they are included, then turnout in Portugal alone could be around 40% after all.

[Helsinkian]

Surprising results in Finland (55.3% counted – we're not waiting for others):

National Coalition Party: 25.2%, 4 seats (+1)
Left Alliance: 18.4%, 3 seats (+2)
Social Democrats: 15.6%, 2 seats (nc)
Centre Party: 11.6%, 2 seats (nc)
Green League: 11.2%, 2 seats (-1)
Finns Party: 6.7%, 1 seat (-1)
Swedish People's Party: 5.6%, 1 seat (nc)
Christian Democrats: 4%, 0 seats (nc)

Finns Party seems to be paying the price for the government's austerity, and Left Alliance is reaping the rewards. Major polling failure.

Result service: https://vaalit.yle.fi/epv2024/tulospalvelu/en/

[kaoras]

Surprising results in Finland (55.3% counted – we're not waiting for others):

National Coalition Party: 25.2%, 4 seats (+1)
Left Alliance: 18.4%, 3 seats (+2)
Social Democrats: 15.6%, 2 seats (nc)
Centre Party: 11.6%, 2 seats (nc)
Green League: 11.2%, 2 seats (nc)
Finns Party: 6.7%, 1 seat (-1)
Swedish People's Party: 5.6%, 1 seat (nc)
Christian Democrats: 4%, 0 seats (nc)

Finns Party seems to be paying the price for the government's austerity, and Left Alliance is reaping the rewards. Major polling failure.

Result service: https://vaalit.yle.fi/epv2024/tulospalvelu/en/

Party like it's the 1960s