TX-SEN (UTTyler): Cruz +5 vs Allred
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  TX-SEN (UTTyler): Cruz +5 vs Allred
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Author Topic: TX-SEN (UTTyler): Cruz +5 vs Allred  (Read 850 times)
Ron DeSantis enthusiast
FranciscoM97
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« on: May 24, 2023, 04:12:46 PM »

Ted Cruz (R) 42%
Colin Allred (D) 37%
Someone else 7%
Don't know 14%

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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #1 on: May 24, 2023, 04:14:59 PM »

It could be close if Biden is winning.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #2 on: May 24, 2023, 05:00:40 PM »

This one looks like it'll be fools gold for Democrats, unfortunately.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: May 24, 2023, 05:13:11 PM »
« Edited: May 24, 2023, 05:17:47 PM by Interlocutor is just not there yet »

This one looks like it'll be fools gold for Democrats, unfortunately.

They should still put some effort into it. Worst case scenario, Dems finally lay down some serious resources and campaign infrastructure in Texas
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Spectator
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« Reply #4 on: May 24, 2023, 05:17:39 PM »

This one looks like it'll be fools gold for Democrats, unfortunately.

They should still put some effort into it at least

Far be it from a Republican to give Democrats advice, but this poll absolutely doesn’t indicate that it’s fools gold. Allred is completely unknown and already at -5 in a sample which has Biden at 35% approval and 61% disapproving. That would be believable if this were 2012. It’s not anymore.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: May 24, 2023, 05:23:37 PM »
« Edited: May 24, 2023, 05:29:42 PM by Interlocutor is just not there yet »

This one looks like it'll be fools gold for Democrats, unfortunately.

They should still put some effort into it at least

Far be it from a Republican to give Democrats advice, but this poll absolutely doesn’t indicate that it’s fools gold. Allred is completely unknown and already at -5 in a sample which has Biden at 35% approval and 61% disapproving. That would be believable if this were 2012. It’s not anymore.

Yeah, I find it a bit presumptuous to be declaring 'fools gold' for a race 12+ months away where the GOP incumbent in a GOP state is up by 5 and just cracking 40%
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #6 on: May 24, 2023, 05:31:46 PM »

This is gonna be close like KY G and MS, just like TN S was in 2006
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #7 on: May 24, 2023, 05:37:39 PM »

Likely R. The last few points are going to be very hard for Democrats to get in Texas.
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Unelectable Bystander
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« Reply #8 on: May 24, 2023, 06:02:28 PM »

Abbott approval in this poll: +1
Abbott approval in 2022 exit polls: +10

Abbott margin in this pollster’s last 2022 poll: +6
Abbott actual margin: +10

GCB in this pollster’s last 2022 poll: R +7
Actual GCB: R +13

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SnowLabrador
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #9 on: May 24, 2023, 06:09:02 PM »

Abbott approval in this poll: +1
Abbott approval in 2022 exit polls: +10

Abbott margin in this pollster’s last 2022 poll: +6
Abbott actual margin: +10

GCB in this pollster’s last 2022 poll: R +7
Actual GCB: R +13



Texas is going to swing right in 2024.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #10 on: May 24, 2023, 06:26:06 PM »
« Edited: May 24, 2023, 06:32:50 PM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

Everyone said Harold Ford couldn't win an he almost won , lol we gotta wait til the Debt Ceiling is resolved, Biden is still leading both Trump and DeSantis due to J6

It's the end result not what's going on now
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Xing
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« Reply #11 on: May 24, 2023, 07:43:41 PM »

Not sure how being at 42% makes this a terrific poll for Cruz, but either way, Lean R.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #12 on: May 24, 2023, 07:47:12 PM »
« Edited: May 24, 2023, 07:53:16 PM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

Not sure how being at 42% makes this a terrific poll for Cruz, but either way, Lean R.

No it's not AKH and KS G and KY G and MS G and NC G and MO S are battleground states

We can win red states Cooper won in 20 and we just won FL MAYOR

Lol 303 isn't enshrined in the Constitution 530 is and all you need is 270 wave insurance means expand map for CONGRESS

Rod JOSEPH is competitive in FL, they said on Yahoo news Biden is contest FL, I have a hard time TX flips without FL and Hawley is vulnerable there are blk people in  red states too like in blue States
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UWS
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« Reply #13 on: June 11, 2023, 01:10:40 PM »

Nothing even guarantees that Allred will win the Democratic senate nomination. He's leading Roland Gutierrez by just 13 percentage points and if Gutierrez runs he has a lot of time to catch up to Allred. And even if Allred is the Democratic nominee, he doesn't have what it takes to beat Ted Cruz in a state that hasn't elected a Democrat in a statewide office since 1994.

https://www.txhpf.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/TxHPF-Spring23-Report-2.pdf

In fact, when Ted Cruz won senate re-election in 2018 by just 2.6 percentage points over Beto O'Rourke, 32 % of Texas voters said that immigration was their top issue and 21 % of Texas voters said the economy was the most important issue and both immigration and the economy were the issues favoring Cruz who argued that we need to build the Border Wall to secure the borders and that the Trump's tax cuts policies are working and O'Rourke is too extreme on immigration, tax cuts and other issues. And even though health care was the main issue in Texas in 2018 (38 % of voters), that hadn't been enough for Beto O'Rourke to beat Cruz.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MsRP9Ho7D_I

Right now, 2/3 of Texas voters said that the economy and border are the top issues and those two issues will favor Cruz in a red state like Texas and Allred has already proven himself to be too extreme for Texas : on immigration Allred voted against the Secure the Border Act of 2023 even as Title 42 expired. Allred opposed stopping Joe Biden's Covid state of emergency, voted against overturning WOTUS rule, said that it would be better had the Second Amendment not been written. And even with TX has seen an 800% increase in fentanyl passing over the Southern Border and a 400% increase in fentanyl overdose deaths, Allred has voted against HALT Fentanyl Act to combat the fentanyl epidemic by permanently classifying fentanyl related substances Schedule I controlled drugs.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/ted-cruz-ramps-up-as-democrats-seek-to-take-him-down/ar-AA1aScry

https://www.congress.gov/bill/118th-congress/house-bill/2/actions

https://clerk.house.gov/Votes/2023100

https://clerk.house.gov/Votes/2023142

https://clerk.house.gov/evs/2023/roll237.xml
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #14 on: June 11, 2023, 01:18:46 PM »

With Trump indictments it's not gonna be just a 303 map I keep telling users this we are targeting MT, OH, AZ,  TX and NC and WV and FLORIDA are our wish list

Biden will beat any R he isn't Hillary
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