Dan the Roman
liberalrepublican
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,536
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« on: May 25, 2023, 05:48:24 AM » |
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The problem with the article is it concedes the dataset. New Hampshire did not have mail or early voting.
It is pretty clear the X factor was post-covid migration. Raw Turnout in Maine and New Hampshire was more than 10% above 2018, and the results were less than a 1% R swing from that year for the US House. In the Midwest Covid sped up migration of older Boomer Rs to the South, and younger D-leaning voters out of urban cores to replace them.
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