Is Fort Worth real/next Republican city to flip

[Builder Refused]

I was wondering if anyone here has scrounged up enough factoids to have a clue why the mayoral election this time around was such a nothing burger? Especially contrasting it to the elections today, it seems like an exceptionally boring result, even for such a hidden election.

As far as I was involved, before the elections, it was only through Phonebanking for Philadelphia. So, is there some reason no particular candidate was chosen here? Is it just that Parker was considered too quality of a candidate, or maybe that it was deemed unimportant by strategists, or that Fort Worth is less a city and more like a sixth finger? Some combo of press, organizing, identity, and motivation must have been absent.

Oh and the second part of the post title

[Spectator]

Biden won it decisively. I think it’s only a matter of time, yes.

[Builder Refused]

Biden won it decisively. I think it’s only a matter of time, yes.

So you’d vote it like next to flip mayor wise out of Bakersfield, Fresno, Mesa, Miami, OKC, Omaha, Tulsa, VAB?
I mean Biden I imagine won all of these except Mesa and Tulsa though it’s hard to get info on city results, and don’t get me started on the actual mayors of these places who I’d have to like, touch grass to know anything about.

[Roll Roons]

Biden won it decisively. I think it’s only a matter of time, yes.

So you’d vote it like next to flip mayor wise out of Bakersfield, Fresno, Mesa, Miami, OKC, Omaha, Tulsa, VAB?
I mean Biden I imagine won all of these except Mesa and Tulsa though it’s hard to get info on city results, and don’t get me started on the actual mayors of these places who I’d have to like, touch grass to know anything about.

Biden actually won Tulsa proper. He didn't win Bakersfield or OKC, although I would think at least the latter has a good shot of flipping in 2024.

[Builder Refused]

What about Miami, did he win there?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Parker received about 30k votes. Turnout was clearly dirt low. Now why that is is a valid question, but it seems that if Parker didn't have any reason to be dumped (and remember it's a nominally nonpartisan election) and thus no serious candidates ran it's not surprising it got such little attention.

[TML]

What about Miami, did he win there?

Data from DRA indicated that he won the city of Miami proper by 19 points. It’s places like Hialeah (Cuban majority with a relatively low share of people with higher education) where Republican strength is mostly concentrated in for Miami-Dade County overall.

[Badger]

Biden won it decisively. I think it’s only a matter of time, yes.

So you’d vote it like next to flip mayor wise out of Bakersfield, Fresno, Mesa, Miami, OKC, Omaha, Tulsa, VAB?
I mean Biden I imagine won all of these except Mesa and Tulsa though it’s hard to get info on city results, and don’t get me started on the actual mayors of these places who I’d have to like, touch grass to know anything about.

Biden actually won Tulsa proper. He didn't win Bakersfield or OKC, although I would think at least the latter has a good shot of flipping in 2024.

I thought Biden won OKC?

[Spectator]

Biden won it decisively. I think it’s only a matter of time, yes.

So you’d vote it like next to flip mayor wise out of Bakersfield, Fresno, Mesa, Miami, OKC, Omaha, Tulsa, VAB?
I mean Biden I imagine won all of these except Mesa and Tulsa though it’s hard to get info on city results, and don’t get me started on the actual mayors of these places who I’d have to like, touch grass to know anything about.

No, I don’t necessarily think Fort Worth is the next to flip out of all those you just listed. Fresno is up in presidential years, and Democrats in Omaha seem pretty well-organized for off years in comparison to their counterparts in Texas cities.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Biden won it decisively. I think it’s only a matter of time, yes.

So you’d vote it like next to flip mayor wise out of Bakersfield, Fresno, Mesa, Miami, OKC, Omaha, Tulsa, VAB?
I mean Biden I imagine won all of these except Mesa and Tulsa though it’s hard to get info on city results, and don’t get me started on the actual mayors of these places who I’d have to like, touch grass to know anything about.

Biden actually won Tulsa proper. He didn't win Bakersfield or OKC, although I would think at least the latter has a good shot of flipping in 2024.

I thought Biden won OKC?

Trump 49.5-Biden 47.9

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

Trump 49.5-Biden 47.9

That was Oklahoma County overall (which isn't just OKC). Did Biden win Oklahoma City proper?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Trump 49.5-Biden 47.9

That was Oklahoma County overall (which isn't just OKC). Did Biden win Oklahoma City proper?

No that was OKC proper (which extends into four counties total.) Oklahoma County was Trump 49.2-Biden 48.1.

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

No that was OKC proper (which extends into four counties total.) Oklahoma County was Trump 49.2-Biden 48.1.

Really? So the margin was (essentially) identical?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

No that was OKC proper (which extends into four counties total.) Oklahoma County was Trump 49.2-Biden 48.1.

Really? So the margin was (essentially) identical?

Yes. Remember though that a good chunk of OKC is outside of Oklahoma County and that's almost all Republican areas.

[Tintrlvr]

No that was OKC proper (which extends into four counties total.) Oklahoma County was Trump 49.2-Biden 48.1.

Really? So the margin was (essentially) identical?

Yes. Remember though that a good chunk of OKC is outside of Oklahoma County and that's almost all Republican areas.

And a good chunk of the non-OKC parts of Oklahoma County are Democratic or competitive. Spencer (majority black) is a Democratic stronghold at 73.8-23.6 Biden, Biden also won Midwest City 49.6-47.4, The Village 51.8-45.4, and Warr Acres 48.8-48.2, Del City was only narrowly Trump at 47.5-49.2, Bethany was only 38.6-58.0 Trump and even Edmond had some Biden precincts while being 35.7-61.5 overall. Meanwhile the areas of OKC in Cleveland County and Canadian County are substantial and uniformly Republican, more so than Edmond. (There are some super-R areas in Oklahoma County that are not in OKC, too, including Choctaw and most of the unincorporated areas, but those are much less populous than the OKC areas outside of Oklahoma County.)

Biden did win the Oklahoma County parts of OKC 53.8-43.5.

[Vice President Christian Man]

I'm guessing so or at least it would be D-leaning while Tarrant County is likely to remain a bellwether for the foreseeable future.