At first, Libertarian sweeps, but eventually the Greens would make headway as the Overton Window came to include their platform. The safest yellow states would be the ones with economies heavily dependent on oil and gas or coal, i.e. Wyoming, West Virginia, Alaska, Texas. They would probably inherit an unhappy but shrinking voting bloc of religious conservatives in the Deep South and Mormon West. They would be more competitive than Republicans in the suburbs and with Hispanics. Their problem would be keeping their conservative majority base from purging the ideological libertarians, similar to what happened to the Republican establishment. The deep green states would be the usual suspects, i.e. the West Coast and the Northeast. Eventually, their platform would be understood as the one for bringing jobs back to the Rust Belt, albeit more sustainable ones. The Plains would be in a tough spot between Libertarian opposition to farm subsidies and Green opposition to agricultural pollution, although I think once the Greens start up with wind farms and Buffalo Commons proposals, there would be a backlash.
