Could Republicans playing it safe with Nebraska Redistricting cost them the presidency

[OSR stands with Israel]

Basically in an attempt to keep NE-1 in republican hands for the decade , they made NE-2 more democratic than it had to be . As a consequence it’s very possible that decision could cost them the presidency in 2024 if this ends up being the map



Republicans would end up losing 270-268 due to NE-2 being democratic here . If they took more of a gamble and say made NE-2 around Biden +1 rather than +7 the electoral vote is probably won by the GOP in this scenario and the map ends up 269-269 which favors the GOP

[BG-NY]

I would say no, because I think GA votes 4+ points left of tipping point in 2024.

[Crumpets]

I have a hard time seeing Wisconsin be the leftmost state between it, Nevada, Arizona, and Georgia going forward.

[OSR stands with Israel]

I have a hard time seeing Wisconsin be the leftmost state between it, Nevada, Arizona, and Georgia going forward.

If Trump is the nominee I agree but not with DeSantis . With DeSantis I think WI will be harder for him to win than AZ/GA and potentially NV as well .

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We're gonna win AZ and NV with Gallego

[FloridaMan1845]

We're gonna win AZ and NV with Gallego

Gallego’s in a three-way race between an incumbent left-wing independent, himself, and an R nominee TBD. He could easily lose.

[Devils30]

Outside chance but GA probably to the left of WI and PA (more confident in WI being to right of tipping point). I don't see many 269/270 scenarios in 2024.

[Spectator]

No since I think the days of Wisconsin voting left of Arizona and Georgia are over.

[David Hume]

Basically in an attempt to keep NE-1 in republican hands for the decade , they made NE-2 more democratic than it had to be . As a consequence it’s very possible that decision could cost them the presidency in 2024 if this ends up being the map



Republicans would end up losing 270-268 due to NE-2 being democratic here . If they took more of a gamble and say made NE-2 around Biden +1 rather than +7 the electoral vote is probably won by the GOP in this scenario and the map ends up 269-269 which favors the GOP

I remembered they cannot pass a more aggressive one due to filibuster. If DeSantis wins the nomination and it seems likely that it could be decided by NE-2, they may just abolish the EC by CD law.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

This strikes me as a low-likelihood event. If the election is that close, chances are that something else is at least as important to the result.

[Progressive Pessimist]

That sure would be something, but I concur with the idea of Wisconsin voting to left of Arizona and Georgia in the future.