McConnell aligned poll - Manchin leads Mooney and Morrisey, down double digits to Justice.
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  McConnell aligned poll - Manchin leads Mooney and Morrisey, down double digits to Justice.
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Author Topic: McConnell aligned poll - Manchin leads Mooney and Morrisey, down double digits to Justice.  (Read 1562 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #25 on: March 09, 2023, 08:30:18 AM »

We have AZ, MO, MT AND OH should Sinema and Manchin fall Gallego and KUNCE and Brown that's 51 we don't need FL or TX
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #26 on: March 10, 2023, 05:40:20 PM »

The assumption that Manchin is DOA seems to rest on the assumption that West Virginia has somehow lurched rightward since 2018. There is literally no evidence of this; the state trended left in 2020. It seems quite clear the GOP has hit its ceiling there and the state is no more Republican today than it was when Manchin won re-election in 2018. Yes, you could argue that because 2024 will be a presidential year and possibly or probably a less Democratic year than 2018, that puts Manchin at a disadvantage. But it doesn't mean he's gonna get Blanched. I wouldn't be shocked at all by a close race, including a narrow Manchin win, and think Monongalia County will be the first in WV to vote D in a presidential race since 2008 in any case.

The expert raters so far all have this race as tossup or Lean R for a reason.
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Bakersfield Uber Alles
Fubart Solman
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #27 on: March 10, 2023, 06:16:46 PM »

Odds of our old Friend sabotaging the GOP if Justice wins the nomination?

God, I’d love to see Blankenship run as a screw-you to Cocaine Mitch.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #28 on: March 13, 2023, 11:03:51 AM »

The best bet for Manchin is that Trump develops an egotistical vendetta against the R candidate.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #29 on: March 13, 2023, 11:24:20 AM »

The best bet for Manchin is that Trump develops an egotistical vendetta against the R candidate.

Lo it's 24 months between now and Eday and Manchin is leading Morrisey
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #30 on: March 29, 2023, 06:16:12 PM »
« Edited: March 29, 2023, 06:25:03 PM by AncestralDemocrat. »

The assumption that Manchin is DOA seems to rest on the assumption that West Virginia has somehow lurched rightward since 2018. There is literally no evidence of this; the state trended left in 2020. It seems quite clear the GOP has hit its ceiling there and the state is no more Republican today than it was when Manchin won re-election in 2018. Yes, you could argue that because 2024 will be a presidential year and possibly or probably a less Democratic year than 2018, that puts Manchin at a disadvantage. But it doesn't mean he's gonna get Blanched. I wouldn't be shocked at all by a close race, including a narrow Manchin win, and think Monongalia County will be the first in WV to vote D in a presidential race since 2008 in any case.

The expert raters so far all have this race as tossup or Lean R for a reason.
We have lurched rightward since 2018.. downballot.

The Dem state party has lost 27 House of Delegates seats in two cycles (58-41 R majority to 88-12).. 10 in the senate. (20-14 R majority to 31-3, after a recent defection).

Not to mention Joe had goodwill prompted by his Kav vote in 18 which has long been extinguished.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #31 on: March 29, 2023, 06:40:28 PM »

Eday is 20 mnths away and Trump not DeSantis on the ballot will be good news to Ds Trump is gonna to be the nominee not DeSantis because outside of FL, IA and NH DeSantis is getting crushed by Trump just remember that before RS celebrate and this country is moving left not right RS were supposed to get in gerrymandering just as many seats as 2010 they got 222

The rust belt has been D since Hillary lost it barely in 2016
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #32 on: March 29, 2023, 07:21:19 PM »

The assumption that Manchin is DOA seems to rest on the assumption that West Virginia has somehow lurched rightward since 2018. There is literally no evidence of this; the state trended left in 2020. It seems quite clear the GOP has hit its ceiling there and the state is no more Republican today than it was when Manchin won re-election in 2018. Yes, you could argue that because 2024 will be a presidential year and possibly or probably a less Democratic year than 2018, that puts Manchin at a disadvantage. But it doesn't mean he's gonna get Blanched. I wouldn't be shocked at all by a close race, including a narrow Manchin win, and think Monongalia County will be the first in WV to vote D in a presidential race since 2008 in any case.

The expert raters so far all have this race as tossup or Lean R for a reason.
Complete bogus from you! Republicans in 2022 took the lead in Voter Registrations in West Virginia for the first time ever in the State's History.
If Justice runs this Seat is Likely R bodering Safe R.

Recent Article in Politico said Justice will likely wait until April to officially announce his Candidacy to have a Full Fundraising Quarter. Had he declared in March he would have to fill a quarterly fundraising report. By delaying his Candidacy until April he won't have to fill a Report with the FEC until Mid July.

Many expect Justice to announce either next week or the week after Easter.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #33 on: March 29, 2023, 07:33:18 PM »

Trump not DeSantis being the nominee benefits D's across the Board and Rs didn't even beat 1 incumbent D Senator we won an open race, in 22 a 5/10 pt lead just like 5 pt leads for RS in MT isn't that Detriment for RS as Walker, Oz and Laxalt and Masters all lead an inc Sen by five and lost

Since Trump is the Nomination, RS can't use Hunter Laptop story against Biden because of J6
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #34 on: March 29, 2023, 07:45:19 PM »

Trump not DeSantis being the nominee benefits D's across the Board and Rs didn't even beat 1 incumbent D Senator we won an open race, in 22 a 5/10 pt lead just like 5 pt leads for RS in MT isn't that Detriment for RS as Walker, Oz and Laxalt and Masters all lead an inc Sen by five and lost

Since Trump is the Nomination, RS can't use Hunter Laptop story against Biden because of J6
In most of the States Trump being the Nominee would benefit Democrats. However in WEST VIRGINIA Trump being the Nominee would actually help Republicans.
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