Did Jerry Brown underperform in 2010? (user search)
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  Did Jerry Brown underperform in 2010? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Did Jerry Brown underperform in 2010?  (Read 1153 times)
President Johnson
Atlas Star
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Posts: 28,896
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


« on: March 18, 2023, 02:34:15 PM »

From today's perspective, it almost looks like he did underperform in 2010. He won with 53.8% of the vote, a roughly 13 point margin over Meg Whitman. Newsom's race was even closer and Harris just barely made it. All while Republicans didn't flip a single House seat despite the Tea Party wave and while Arnie was suffering from low approvals.

Shouldn't Brown (and the other statewide Democrats) have won by more?
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President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,896
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


« Reply #1 on: March 19, 2023, 03:09:24 PM »

It was a Republican wave year, and it was the last time the GOP made a serious effort to win a major statewide office.

The second part is an important point, though the Republican wave stopped in California. They didn't flip a single seat in the state, just as in 2014. 2006 was also a wave year and Arnie handily won reelection.
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President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,896
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


« Reply #2 on: March 19, 2023, 04:06:51 PM »

The people who seek an excuse to dump on Harris some more, obviously don't remember that the AG race started with Cooley as the favorite. Her win was actually a moderate upset.
Its worth noting that Harris had horrible numbers in 2014 too.

She won by roughly the same than Newsom as lt. governor, 57.5% to 42.5%. Jerry Brown won a clean 60-40%.
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President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,896
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


« Reply #3 on: March 25, 2023, 03:06:04 PM »

Not at all.  He won Del Norte County, something not done before [quite possibly since Brown 2.0] or since.



I looked it up, Del Northe voted Republican in every gubernatorial election since. Although 2014, 2018 and 2022 were bigger wins for the Democrats statewide than 2010 was.
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