MS-GOV (Mason-Dixon): Reeves +7

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Safe R

What did I say about 7pt polls it's not Safe R with 7 pt but Reeves got his momentum back but it's a Rally around the flag effect with RS coming home in red states and Biden still has Docugate

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I didn't say Presley was favored he is clearly the Dog but Beshear in 2019 wasn't leading he was 4 pts down it's VBM not same day anyways D votes come in slowly


Just like Bevin took the lead and gave it back on VBM

He is a populist WC candidate and WC females vote D, unlike Shawn Wilson that's why Kunce, Brown, Tester have a better chance than D's in TX and FL because blk candidate in red states except GA loses but in 28 Johnson will clearly lose it's a Prez not a Midterm when he defeated Barnes

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We gotten so few polls on other than Prez Edays whenever an R is in the lead in a swing state it's Safe R but if a D is in the lead Tossup remember Dr Oz, Lasalt, Masters and Walker

The RS are favored to sweep these races after Docugate but we should at least win 1 of them just like we are fav to hold the 303 map the S is on the line with AZ, MO, MT AND OH, DOCUGATE did hurt Biden in red not blue states there are ongoing investigation in the H

This isn't Lewinsky, these were classified Documents which also hurt US in red not blue states but Co, NV and VA were R in 2000/04 and we lost OH that was the Eday right there


But so far it's hurting black candidates Wilson, Boswell and John Love we still have a chance in MO, KY, MS, OH and MT as wave insurance that's why it's called wave insurance because it's not required to get to 270

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah, this isn't happening for Democrats. Which sucks, since Reeves might literally be the worst Governor in the country, even with all the competition he has.

LoL after Docugate RS have regain their advantage in red not blue states

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah, it was never going to happen. All this suggests is that Reevers at this point in time - nine months before the election - struggles to consolidate the Republican base. But that's inevitably going to happen in the months and weeks leading up to the election. He may not be that popular, but the state's partisan lean even at the state level is just too much to overcome. I doubt it would even flip with Trump as president in his second term.

Safe Republican.

LoL it's 7 pts which isn't safe R, why is it called wave insurance it's over 303 in case D's win not for sure upset did you know Liddy Dole was upset by Hagen and McCaskill upset Talent and Jeff Merkley upset Gordan Smith all came after Bank collapse like Sillicon Valley but Biden is still being dogged by Docugate that's why you have conflict in polls but he still leads DeSantis and Trump

7 pts is totally different in TX and FL because DeSantis and Abbott not in MS it's still upset potentially it's 7 mnths til Eday and VBM will be slow in blk areas

Trump and Desantis polls like 60% in FL and TX and in GA Trump is at 41%

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's 7 pts yeah Reeves like RS are favorite but it's not over just like it's 7 pts in FL

LA is Gone