Is the current Electoral Map in steady state?

[BG-NY (permanently retired)]

35 states have voted exactly the same in the last 6 elections. 9 of the remaining 15 have voted the same way in 5/6 elections.

Are we in steady state?

[Mr.Bakari-Sellers]

Of course it is now but we don't know what's gonna happen two yrs from now Biden is at 50% that's a 303 map if he makes it past 50% it's wave insurance just like Obama and Biden won 52% of the vote, but we have unresolved issues Docugate, Indictments on Trump and Biden clearly will get a bounce when the Debt Ceiling is approved, his polls are stagnant just like in 21 when the Debt Ceiling wasn't resolved.

Biden can give into RS demands on spending cuts because if the D's get the Filibuster proof Trifecta they can eliminate the Debt Ceiling with 51 votes anyways

Elections are always futuristic, just like it appeared to be a 240RH during the summer of 22 and red S when gas prices was 7.00

It's almost never always a neutral yr it usually goes in D's direction and the turnout goes from 50/65 percent anyways from Midterm and Prez

As I said this 23 Red Gov cycle is gom a tell alot RS are supposed to sweep them but Beshear and Presley are leading and Wilson is the Dog but only has to make the runoff to win

Brown and Kunce and Tester are wave insurance in 2008/12/18 Brown, McCaskill, and Tester all won with R state legislature Red states split their votes between a DG or DS with an R state legislature that's exactly how Presley, Beshear, Kunce and Brown can win R state legislature in the state but DG or DS split voting

[インターネット掲示板ユーザー Punxsutawney Phil]

Relatively, kinda.
But you never know for sure when things will shake up.

[Utilitarian Governance]

I feel we are with a few states (mainly AZ, WI & NC) acting as bellwethers but it's possible that some unforseen demographic shifts or policy shift (as what happened with Trump) could shake things up. Unless we see a depression or war, I don't see any new coalitions propping up anytime soon although the main issues are likely to change and I think we could be headed towards the most stable party system in over 100 years. Looking back it seemed like the 1930's-1990's was more of an exception than a rule. It also wouldn't surprise me if the US pulled a Louisiana and had the same E.C. map for a few cycles in a row.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

In America? hahahaha.

[Cassius]

I feel we are with a few states (mainly AZ, WI & NC) acting as bellwethers but it's possible that some unforseen demographic shifts or policy shift (as what happened with Trump) could shake things up. Unless we see a depression or war, I don't see any new coalitions propping up anytime soon although the main issues are likely to change and I think we could be headed towards the most stable party system in over 100 years. Looking back it seemed like the 1930's-1990's was more of an exception than a rule. It also wouldn't surprise me if the US pulled a Louisiana and had the same E.C. map for a few cycles in a row.

I’ve often thought that the 1932-1992 period should be seen as one of broad partisan dealignment (at least on the presidential side and especially after 1952) with unusually large numbers of voters up for grabs at each election. The situation post-1992 does seem to hark back to the much more stable map and electorate that prevailed prior to 1932.

[EastOfEden]

Refer to signature.

We are in the 4th 7th party system.