Pairs of states that are politically similar?
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  Pairs of states that are politically similar?
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Author Topic: Pairs of states that are politically similar?  (Read 1424 times)
Tekken_Guy
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« on: March 06, 2023, 10:10:53 PM »

What pairs of states are have similarities to each other in their electoral history?
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #1 on: March 06, 2023, 10:15:21 PM »

-North and South Dakota
-Nebraska and Kansas
-Alabama and Mississippi
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Bismarck
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« Reply #2 on: March 07, 2023, 08:13:47 AM »

Indiana and Missouri are very similar now although perhaps not historically.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #3 on: March 07, 2023, 10:47:40 AM »

Some of the MS River states.  Tennessee, Missouri and Kentucky have voted the same in every election going back to 1960, I believe
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4 on: March 07, 2023, 01:17:28 PM »

Illinois and New Jersey have voted the same in every single Presidential election since 1888, with the exception of 1948.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #5 on: March 07, 2023, 01:31:31 PM »

Arkansas and West Virginia are pretty similar for non-neighboring states.
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TheElectoralBoobyPrize
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« Reply #6 on: March 07, 2023, 08:32:05 PM »

Hot take: Louisiana and Arkansas. They haven't voted differently since 1964. They also voted for the winner in every election from 1972 to 2004, but they become both became safe red states in 2008 (I would argue they were lean red in 2000 and likely red in 2004).

They aren't demographically similar, but north Louisiana is somewhat like Arkansas.
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TwinGeeks99
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« Reply #7 on: March 11, 2023, 12:35:54 PM »

Oregon and Washington. Part of the same bioregion and dominated by a big metro area. When they've voted different it's always been red Oregon and blue Washington, likely due to the Portland metro being smaller than the Seattle metro.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #8 on: March 12, 2023, 12:57:03 PM »

Oregon and Washington. Part of the same bioregion and dominated by a big metro area. When they've voted different it's always been red Oregon and blue Washington, likely due to the Portland metro being smaller than the Seattle metro.

Except for 1912.
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gerritcole
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« Reply #9 on: March 12, 2023, 06:01:17 PM »

Last time north and South Dakota voted differently was 1916 with nd going for Wilson and sd for hughes
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TheReckoning
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« Reply #10 on: March 12, 2023, 07:02:16 PM »

Surprised no one mentioned Colorado/Virginia.
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TwinGeeks99
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« Reply #11 on: March 15, 2023, 01:57:45 AM »

Oregon and Washington. Part of the same bioregion and dominated by a big metro area. When they've voted different it's always been red Oregon and blue Washington, likely due to the Portland metro being smaller than the Seattle metro.

Except for 1912.

You got me, but to be fair that election was unusual all around and was essentially a three way race.
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Radicalneo
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« Reply #12 on: March 15, 2023, 09:29:50 AM »

Pennsylvania and Michigan
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #13 on: March 16, 2023, 08:37:04 AM »

IN and IA now Ds are going after NC and SC even if we don't win SC James Harrison is looking at 28 Tim Scott is retiring
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Hope For A New Era
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« Reply #14 on: March 16, 2023, 10:31:36 AM »

Virginia, Colorado, and Minnesota formed a triad for a while, but they seem to be diverging.
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Samof94
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« Reply #15 on: March 19, 2023, 08:37:37 PM »

-North and South Dakota
-Nebraska and Kansas
-Alabama and Mississippi
Kansas elects Ds as Gov often.
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Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
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« Reply #16 on: March 22, 2023, 05:37:17 PM »

Alabama and Mississippi have voted for the same presidential candidate since 1844 IIRC.
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Ragnaroni
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« Reply #17 on: March 24, 2023, 05:34:18 AM »

Virginia, Colorado, and Minnesota formed a triad for a while, but they seem to be diverging.
This doesn't make too much sense to me. CO and VA voted R from 1952 to 2004 with once being D (1964) while MN voted R in 1952-1956-1972. CO and VA are very much the same but adding MN is really weird imo.
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Hope For A New Era
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« Reply #18 on: March 24, 2023, 10:30:44 AM »

Virginia, Colorado, and Minnesota formed a triad for a while, but they seem to be diverging.
This doesn't make too much sense to me. CO and VA voted R from 1952 to 2004 with once being D (1964) while MN voted R in 1952-1956-1972. CO and VA are very much the same but adding MN is really weird imo.

They match during the 2008-2020 period. States "politically controlled" mostly by a single huge and pretty blue metro, with the state Democratic Party taking on the characteristics that would be expected from having that base, and consistently winning statewide races by high single digit margins, while legislative chambers flip frequently.

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Spectator
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« Reply #19 on: March 24, 2023, 11:29:00 AM »

New York and Illinois. Both have statewide elections that are a foregone conclusion due to the presence of a single mega city, and both were swing states presidentially up until 1992, had some vestiges of Republican success at the Senate and gubernatorial level for another decade, and then fizzled out.
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Ragnaroni
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« Reply #20 on: March 25, 2023, 12:36:27 PM »

Virginia, Colorado, and Minnesota formed a triad for a while, but they seem to be diverging.
This doesn't make too much sense to me. CO and VA voted R from 1952 to 2004 with once being D (1964) while MN voted R in 1952-1956-1972. CO and VA are very much the same but adding MN is really weird imo.

They match during the 2008-2020 period. States "politically controlled" mostly by a single huge and pretty blue metro, with the state Democratic Party taking on the characteristics that would be expected from having that base, and consistently winning statewide races by high single digit margins, while legislative chambers flip frequently.


Ahh I see, so basically down ballot. I see and agree!
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #21 on: March 26, 2023, 08:22:14 PM »

Virginia, Colorado, and Minnesota formed a triad for a while, but they seem to be diverging.
This doesn't make too much sense to me. CO and VA voted R from 1952 to 2004 with once being D (1964) while MN voted R in 1952-1956-1972. CO and VA are very much the same but adding MN is really weird imo.

They match during the 2008-2020 period. States "politically controlled" mostly by a single huge and pretty blue metro, with the state Democratic Party taking on the characteristics that would be expected from having that base, and consistently winning statewide races by high single digit margins, while legislative chambers flip frequently.


Ahh I see, so basically down ballot. I see and agree!

I think the reason it's diverging now because outside of MSP, Ds have very few state legislative seats  whereas in VA and CO, their legislative coalition is far more geographically diverse and their geographic distribution is better.
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