How do Heitkamp, Donnelly, McCaskill, and Nelson do in 2024?

[Tekken_Guy]

How would the Democrats who lost re-election in 2018 be doing in 2024. Would they all be DOA like Manchin, or would any of them have a chance at re-election like Tester or Brown?

[NewYorkExpress]

Heitkamp and Donnelly would be DOA. Nelson probably wouldn't even be running, and McCaskill probably would be in a similar situation to her 2012 reelection bid, where her chances depended on Republicans nominating the weakest possible candidate.

[SnowLabrador]

All DOA. Their states have swung violently to the right even since they lost in our timeline.

[Tekken_Guy]

Heitkamp and Donnelly would be DOA. Nelson probably wouldn't even be running, and McCaskill probably would be in a similar situation to her 2012 reelection bid, where her chances depended on Republicans nominating the weakest possible candidate.

How would the open FL seat be looking. Are Democrats' chances better or worse than with Scott running for re-election?

[NewYorkExpress]

Heitkamp and Donnelly would be DOA. Nelson probably wouldn't even be running, and McCaskill probably would be in a similar situation to her 2012 reelection bid, where her chances depended on Republicans nominating the weakest possible candidate.

How would the open FL seat be looking. Are Democrats' chances better or worse than with Scott running for re-election?

Val Demings would still be the Democratic nominee. Her chances probably depend on which Republican is nominated to face her. Someone like Gaetz, for example, she wins (and possibly by double digits), while if Republicans nominate DeSantis, Curbelo, or someone like Vern Buchanan, she loses.

[Tekken_Guy]

Heitkamp and Donnelly would be DOA. Nelson probably wouldn't even be running, and McCaskill probably would be in a similar situation to her 2012 reelection bid, where her chances depended on Republicans nominating the weakest possible candidate.

How would the open FL seat be looking. Are Democrats' chances better or worse than with Scott running for re-election?

Val Demings would still be the Democratic nominee. Her chances probably depend on which Republican is nominated to face her. Someone like Gaetz, for example, she wins (and possibly by double digits), while if Republicans nominate DeSantis, Curbelo, or someone like Vern Buchanan, she loses.

Demings was the nominee against Rubio, not the expected opponent of Rick Scott. And DeSantis has a lot more on his mind than a senate seat.

[Tekken_Guy]

All DOA. Their states have swung violently to the right even since they lost in our timeline.

Only Florida has swung heavily rightward. The others are just already very Republican.

[NewYorkExpress]

Heitkamp and Donnelly would be DOA. Nelson probably wouldn't even be running, and McCaskill probably would be in a similar situation to her 2012 reelection bid, where her chances depended on Republicans nominating the weakest possible candidate.

How would the open FL seat be looking. Are Democrats' chances better or worse than with Scott running for re-election?

Val Demings would still be the Democratic nominee. Her chances probably depend on which Republican is nominated to face her. Someone like Gaetz, for example, she wins (and possibly by double digits), while if Republicans nominate DeSantis, Curbelo, or someone like Vern Buchanan, she loses.

Demings was the nominee against Rubio, not the expected opponent of Rick Scott. And DeSantis has a lot more on his mind than a senate seat.

Okay, well, Demings would probably try again for an open seat (hell, I don't even think she'd run against Rubio if Nelson makes it clear ahead of time that he's retiring).

[Mr. Smith]

All DOA, except maybe Nelson, but I'm not sure any but McCaskill would bother to run again anyway...she's the only one that truly took no prisoners.

[Sir Mohamed]

All would be DOA, though Nelson almost certainly retire. Perhaps the others as well.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

All would be DOA, though Nelson almost certainly retire. Perhaps the others as well.

D's on Act blue are still targeting AZ, MO, OH, NC and FL and we shall see how Scott does because he isn't Rubio it's 30 percent blk, Arab or Latino in all three states OH, NC and FL and GA I have a sneaky feeling about FL and yes Brown told Biden to visit OH and he is gonna go to OH to secure BROWN

We don't have the nominees yet in FL it's gonna be Matt Boswell because Shontel Brown endorsed him and Gillum almost won in 2018 but it was scandal

If Deming's ran in 2018/24 just like Ryan and Beasley because it's a Prez Eday not Midterm the blk turnout would be higher and Rev Barber, Obama and Shapiro and Biden are gonna campaign at end

[Unbeatable Titan Susan Collins]

All would be DOA, though Nelson almost certainly retire. Perhaps the others as well.

Donnelly: DOA
Heitkamp: Extremely DOA
McCaskill: DOA but she had a history of lucking out (and making her own luck) but her luck runs out.
Nelson: reties, Dems have better chance here on the chance the GOP picks a bad candidate

[Ron DeSantis enthusiast]

Heitkamp and Donnelly: DOA
McCaskill: Losing by 7-8 points
Nelson: Losing by 4-5

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We don't know how 24 goes, I would be very careful about extrapolate polls of I were RS two yrs we have way more swing states with blk population than you guys do and it's a 538 not a 303 map

It's way too early