Harvard CAPS-Harris: Trump+5 vs Biden, Trump +10 vs Harris
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  Harvard CAPS-Harris: Trump+5 vs Biden, Trump +10 vs Harris		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Harvard CAPS-Harris: Trump+5 vs Biden, Trump +10 vs Harris  (Read 739 times)
NewYorkExpress
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« on: February 18, 2023, 01:10:31 AM »
https://harvardharrispoll.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/HHP_Feb2023_KeyResults.pdf

Trump vs Biden

Donald Trump (R) 46%
Joe Biden (D) 41%
Don't Know/Unsure 13%

Trump vs Harris

Donald Trump (R) 49%
Kamala Harris (D) 39%
Don't Know/Unsure 13%

DeSantis vs Biden

Ron DeSantis (R) 42%
Joe Biden (D) 41%
Don't Know/Unsure 17%

DeSantis vs Harris

Ron DeSantis (R) 42%
Kamala Harris (D) 40%
Don't Know/Unsure 18%

Poll conducted among 1,838 registered voters between February 15-16, 2023.
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Spectator
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« Reply #1 on: February 18, 2023, 01:32:17 AM »
Don’t think you can reconcile 2022 at all with these numbers.
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Dumbo
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« Reply #2 on: February 18, 2023, 12:02:57 PM »
Trump favorability 48 - 45 (+3)



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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #3 on: February 18, 2023, 12:05:21 PM »

Seems like proof this poll in garbage. Trump is also not winning the NPV in 2024.
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oldtimer
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« Reply #4 on: February 18, 2023, 03:45:05 PM »
Quote from: Spectator on February 18, 2023, 01:32:17 AM
Don’t think you can reconcile 2022 at all with these numbers.
You definitely can, they got the generic congressional vote correct.

The theory of Trump losing California and N.Y by way smaller numbers while losing all the swing states, just like the GOP in 2022 for example, is credible.

The possibility of Biden losing the Popular Vote by a significant margin while winning 300+E.V. is real.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #5 on: February 18, 2023, 11:52:22 PM »
I can buy Trump getting 46% (again, third time in a row).

The rest of the poll is garbage.
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BG-NY
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« Reply #6 on: February 18, 2023, 11:55:33 PM »
Quote from: Spectator on February 18, 2023, 01:32:17 AM
Don’t think you can reconcile 2022 at all with these numbers.
Trump wasn’t on the ballot in 2022.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: February 19, 2023, 10:31:28 PM »
It's 2 yrs to Eday and there is no campaign going on give me a break Trump isn't gonna beat Biden and we know that already
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #8 on: February 19, 2023, 10:44:57 PM »
Reminder that Donald Trump never even got Mitt Romney's (itself ironic) 47% of the vote, and never will.
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Spectator
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« Reply #9 on: February 20, 2023, 12:18:30 PM »
Quote from: oldtimer on February 18, 2023, 03:45:05 PM
Quote from: Spectator on February 18, 2023, 01:32:17 AM
Don’t think you can reconcile 2022 at all with these numbers.
You definitely can, they got the generic congressional vote correct.

The theory of Trump losing California and N.Y by way smaller numbers while losing all the swing states, just like the GOP in 2022 for example, is credible.

The possibility of Biden losing the Popular Vote by a significant margin while winning 300+E.V. is real.

Not really. California is entirely attributable to their characteristic poor minority turnout in non-Presidential years. If I had to guess, Texas and New York had that same disparity too.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #10 on: February 20, 2023, 04:20:55 PM »
Biden Approvals don't always stay the same they will go up
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