I find it interesting that Arkansas and West Virginia, both of which voted for Bush in 2004, end up in the Lean Democrat group here. Also, all of the Tossup states were Bush states. Could North Dakota and Montana go to the Democrat in 2008?
Could they? Maybe. But not in a race that wasn't an absolute landslide. The Democrats also had the triects in North Dakota in 2004, and it didn't get them anywhere. In Montana, Democrats can thank their lucky stars for a) a terrible state GOP in 2004, b) a terrible national GOP in 2006.
As interesting as it turns out, this measure doesn't mean much for federal politics.