Other than NoVa, what in Virginia would become Dem if they swung more libertarian? It may be fast-growing, but it's not enough to make it solid, IMO.
I always thought it was more populist because of Arizona has more Hispanics. Does New Mexico have more?
Arizona is 27% Hispanic, while New Mexico is 42%. NM is 11% Indian; AZ is 6%. New Mexico is poorer, less white, and while it may not be socially far-right, it's definitely not libertarian.
The problem with this scenario is that, while states like MT and WY might have libertarian underpinnings, they aren't socially liberal. They're just "hands off, unless you want to give us money." Which is hard to translate into an election like this...
