Who long until something like this Could Reasonable Happen:

[True Democrat]

I didn't know that Kentucky and Tennessee were libertarian states.

[True Democrat]

Generic Libertarian vs. Generic Populist would probably look something like this:



I could be totally wrong.

[True Democrat]

red - libertarian
blue - populist

Image Link

Arizona is definitely more libertarian than New Mexico.

[True Democrat]

Libertarianism (D) v. Populism (R):

Arizona is the most libertarian state in the country. It also has strong social-conservative factions, but there's a reason it's the only state with a serious Libertarian Party. New Hampshire is the only comparable state.

With swing states:

I'd be careful with Minnesota.  Northern Minnesota can be pretty populist, especially economically.  The same goes with Illinois (which I agree is a swing state).  New York should definitly be a swing state in my opinion.  There are a lot of economic liberal in the cities and even quite a few upstate.  New Mexico is one of the most populist states there is.  I would look to Gary Johnson's failed attempt to stop the war on drugs for this.