2020 Interstate Senate Redistricting (user search)
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  2020 Interstate Senate Redistricting (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Interstate Senate Redistricting  (Read 6908 times)
Roll Roons
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,985
United States


« on: February 11, 2023, 12:48:07 PM »

Excellent work so far.

Two things:
1. Can you please the Biden/Trump numbers where possible? TBH that would probably be more helpful than just a PVI estimate. 

2. Would it be possible to post the DRA link when the project is done?
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Roll Roons
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,985
United States


« Reply #1 on: February 11, 2023, 03:06:19 PM »



District 11: Jersey Shore
Population: 3,474,536 (+4.83%)
States: New Jersey (91.21%) and New York (8.79%)
Largest City: Lakewood Township, New Jersey
Cook PVI: R+1
2016->2020 Swing: Dem +3.57%
2016->2020 Trend: Dem +1.21%
Demographics: 59% White, 16% Hispanic, 10% Black, 14% Asian, 1% Native

Drawing Thought Process: The thought process here was to take as much of the southernmost portion of the New York Combined Statistical area. This included grabbing the Trenton-Princeton area as it is generally more connected to the New York area than the Philadelphia area. I also felt that it made sense to add the southern portions of Staten Island to this district.

2022 Election: Frank Pallone (D-Long Branch, NJ) vs Thomas Kean, Jr. (R-Westfield, NJ)
Explanation: After a close defeat for the House in 2020, Tom Kean, Jr. decided to give it a go for this new Senate district in 2022. He dominates the northern portion during the primary and goes on to a solid win in the general thanks to the Republican strength in the New York suburbs during the last election. Frank Pallone Jr. picks the wrong time to make another stab at a Senate run.

I'm surprised a district that has all of Edison, Iselin, South Brunswick, Plainsboro and Montgomery is only 14% Asian.
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Roll Roons
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,985
United States


« Reply #2 on: February 25, 2023, 01:04:38 PM »

Is the DC district the bluest in the country or will it be surpassed by one in the Bay Area?

Similarly, is the Central Appalachia district the reddest or is there a redder district either further out west?
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