Blumenauer Congressional Plan (user search)
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  Blumenauer Congressional Plan (search mode)
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Author Topic: Blumenauer Congressional Plan  (Read 2928 times)
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« on: February 15, 2023, 02:40:04 AM »
« edited: February 15, 2023, 02:52:36 AM by Southern Delegate and Atlasian AG Punxsutawney Phil »

https://davesredistricting.org/join/6b571a90-4ce8-4b18-8f20-915688612a82
Michigan.
Perfectly balanced, at 9 Biden seats and 9 Trump seats. 2 majority black seats in Wayne. Battle Creek and Kalamazoo in the same seat. Only two splits of a contiguous portion of a municipality.
I feel satisfied with what I have drawn.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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Posts: 41,371
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« Reply #1 on: February 15, 2023, 10:56:55 AM »

If you're increasing the number of congressional districts by 50%, I think you need to make an effort to increase the number of VRA seats by the same percentage. You can't draw three black-majority districts in Greater Detroit by CVAP without squiggly lines, but you can easily draw three fairly compact districts where black voters would be a majority in the Democratic primary so I think you should.

It's doable just using Wayne and Oakland counties (with an arm reaching up to Pontiac) but much cleaner if you use southern Macomb (where Eastpointe is now black-plurality and Warren and Roseville are much less white than a decade ago). In either case, you don't need to split any cities.
I unwilling to cross 8 Mile Road. But I'm willing to cross the Macomb-Oakland border. (Once)
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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Posts: 41,371
United States


« Reply #2 on: February 15, 2023, 02:55:03 PM »

Here's what I came up with: https://davesredistricting.org/join/add10d91-1c0c-449a-b1ba-0a116f60a484

Two seats at 50% black or above by CVAP, the other at 48.8% but black majority by total population (which the other two aren't.) All should function. The Arab communities are divided, but they aren't large enough to control a congressional district anyway, even at this size.

6 safe Dem seats (defined as at least Biden +10), 7 same R seats (at least Trump +5), 6 swing seats (only one of which voted for Trump, but most of which would have flipped in a Trump victory.)
What do you make of this?
https://davesredistricting.org/join/5459f468-07c6-4a92-a768-ca5ad41132d4
Zero municipal splits outside of Detroit, and three black seats.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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Posts: 41,371
United States


« Reply #3 on: February 15, 2023, 10:20:37 PM »

That map feels like a CA commission-style map.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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Posts: 41,371
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« Reply #4 on: February 16, 2023, 01:44:33 PM »

Amazing job doing my home state.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,371
United States


« Reply #5 on: February 20, 2023, 04:44:02 AM »

https://davesredistricting.org/join/8339e69c-5bdc-406f-8c82-a21988f22aae
Oregon
Likely result: 5D-3R
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,371
United States


« Reply #6 on: February 20, 2023, 05:17:41 AM »

https://davesredistricting.org/join/c00f37c1-aa3c-4b20-a2f2-d3b7e96f4a4a
Tried my best to do Iowa here with as low deviation as was feasible while also not splitting any counties.
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