Pres Mike
YaBB God
Posts: 4,360
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« on: February 03, 2023, 04:19:39 PM » |
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Trump had some incumbency advantage. Black and Hispanic men moved towards Trump. This is an example of incumbency advantage because the same thing happened to George W Bush in 2004.
But otherwise no. The typically incumbent sees movment towards him in every demographic. Reagan, Dubya and Clinton did better in every group when they ran for re-election. The ones who didn't were Carter and HW, which they lost. The exception was Obama who did worst with white people.
Trump saw many demographics move away from him. He is probably the first incumbent in modern times to have groups move towards him, others away. Thankfully the groups that moved away from him (suburban women) were more than the groups that moved towards him.
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