Turkey elections 2023

[jaichind]

Given the trends Erdogan probably will not beat his result in 2018

But will beat his 2014 first-round result.

[Logical]

87.5% reporting

52.9% Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
47.1% Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu

89.8% reporting

52.7% Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
47.3% Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu

[Mike88]

Given the trends Erdogan probably will not beat his result in 2018

But will beat his 2014 first-round result.

Narrowly though. This is trending fast to a 51.9-48.1% result.

[Logical]

Ankara flipped to KK with the update. At least the opposition should feel confident that they can hold Istanbul and Ankara in the local elections.

[President Johnson]

Closer than expected or not, the sultan pretty much has this. It's embarrassing.

[Logical]

89.8% reporting

52.7% Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
47.3% Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu

91.6% reporting

52.6% Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
47.4% Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu

[President Johnson]

89.8% reporting

52.7% Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
47.3% Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu

91.6% reporting

52.6% Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
47.4% Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu

So that's pretty much Erdogan's vote share of 2018. If the trend continues, he won't match it this time, although it was a four person race and the second-place finisher just got a little over 30%.

[Logical]

91.6% reporting

52.6% Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
47.4% Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu

93% reporting

52.5% Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
47.5% Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu

[Mike88]

Different agencies count:

ANKA: 93.9% counted

51.4% Erdogan
48.6% Kılıçdaroğlu

Anadolu: 93.0% counted

52.5% Erdogan
47.5% Kılıçdaroğlu

[Logical]

93% reporting

52.5% Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
47.5% Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu

94.1% reporting

52.4% Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
47.6% Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu

[Logical]

Largest province to finish counting
Gaziantep (SW Anatolia)

First round
RTE 59.8%
KK 34.6%

Turnout 85.7%

Second round
RTE 62.8%
KK 37.2%

Turnout 82.5%

[Logical]

94.1% reporting

52.4% Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
47.6% Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu

95.2% reporting

52.3% Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
47.7% Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu

[Logical]

95.2% reporting

52.3% Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
47.7% Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu

96.6% reporting

52.2% Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
47.8% Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu

[TheTide]

52-48 strikes again.

[Logical]

Opposition ANKA count

96.7% reporting

51.8% Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
48.2% Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu

If average it out with the government AA count then you get the magic ratio.

[President Johnson]

Are votes from abroad already in? Anyway, Erdogan is reelected at this point.

[Mike88]

Are votes from abroad already in? Anyway, Erdogan is reelected at this point.

Yes. 39.72% counted:

58.8% Erdogan
41.2% Kılıçdaroğlu

They are included in the AA count.

[Logical]

Hatay is the only province to flip in the second round

First round
KK 48.1%
RTE 48%

Turnout 83.2%

Second round
RTE 50.1%
KK 49.9%

Turnout 81.7%

[Logical]

96.6% reporting

52.2% Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
47.8% Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu

97.9% reporting

52.1% Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
47.9% Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu

[Logical]

Konya (Central Anatolia)

First round
RTE 68.9%
KK 23.9%

Turnout 89.2%

Second round
RTE 73%
KK 27%

Turnout 86.1%

The fall in turnout here and other provinces in the Anatolian plateau prevented this race from being a blowout.

[Logical]

Siirt (SW Anatolia)

First round
KK 56.3%
RTE 41.5%

Turnout 83.4%

Second round
KK 55.4%
RTE 44.6%

Turnout 78.5%

In Kurdish majority provinces like this turnout fell by 5% and Erdogan actually won more votes in the second round.

[President Johnson]

Alhamdulillah

Great day for Turkiye

Why do you support this authoritarian crook? He has turned Turkey into an autocracy, threw political opponents in jail, bungled the economy, allowed wide-spread corruption to flourish and totally missmanaged the earthquake response. It's really beyond me, especially for people living in countries like the US, Germany or the Netherlands were the rule of law still means something.

[Nhoj]

Konya (Central Anatolia)

First round
RTE 68.9%
KK 23.9%

Turnout 89.2%

Second round
RTE 73%
KK 27%

Turnout 86.1%

The fall in turnout here and other provinces in the Anatolian plateau prevented this race from being a blowout.

Only in the sense that ogan voters didnt show up. both Erdo and KK are getting more absolute votes than the first round.

[Mike88]

Both agencies have now basically the same results:

ANKA: 98.5% counted

52.0% Erdogan
48.0% Kılıçdaroğlu

Anadolu: 98.3% counted

52.1% Erdogan
47.9% Kılıçdaroğlu

Erdogan now speaking in which I assume it's his victory speech.

[Logical]

Istanbul (100% counted)

First round
KK 48.6%
RTE 46.7%

Turnout 90.5%

Second round
KK 51.7%
RTE 48.3%

Turnout 87.1%