Counties with highest % of W Bush-Biden voters
DPKdebator:
It's hard to quantify since the counties with the most drastic swings to the left are those with the most drastic demographic changes. Remember that Bush's elections are 20 years in retrospect, and many of these counties are very different places from what they were in the early 2000s. The best candidates for the counties with the most Bush-Biden voters are those Democratic-trending counties which are still largely white today and aren't 50% larger population-wise than in 2000. Some are still overwhelmingly Republican, just not as much as they were back then. The WOW counties, Kent/Ottawa/Oakland MI, Chester/Centre PA, Johnson KS, Oklahoma OK, Hamilton IN, and Delaware OH are all good possibilities.
The Right Honourable Martin Brian Mulroney PC CC GOQ:
Quote from: TDAS04 on February 03, 2023, 11:20:35 PM
Travis County, TX? Biden got 71%, yet Bush actually won it in 2000. (Granted, with a plurality thanks to Nader’s strong showing, but Bush still got 47%, a lot more than what Trump received.)
Travis County went from a population of 800k in 2000 and 1.3M in 2020, and the demographics of people moving to Austin skews very liberal.
Trump's 2020 performance in Travis County is actually a record for the Republicans, 161k votes, compared to Bush's 141k in 2000. But when you compare Biden and Gore, it's not even close. Gore got 125k votes. Biden got 436k.
Bush-Biden voters certainly exist in Travis County, but much less than seems at first glance. More an influx of Democrats than flipping of Republicans.
OSR stands with Israel:
Quote from: Ontario Liber-toryan on February 09, 2023, 02:29:04 PM
Quote from: TDAS04 on February 03, 2023, 11:20:35 PM
Travis County, TX? Biden got 71%, yet Bush actually won it in 2000. (Granted, with a plurality thanks to Nader’s strong showing, but Bush still got 47%, a lot more than what Trump received.)
Travis County went from a population of 800k in 2000 and 1.3M in 2020, and the demographics of people moving to Austin skews very liberal.
Trump's 2020 performance in Travis County is actually a record for the Republicans, 161k votes, compared to Bush's 141k in 2000. But when you compare Biden and Gore, it's not even close. Gore got 125k votes. Biden got 436k.
Bush-Biden voters certainly exist in Travis County, but much less than seems at first glance. More an influx of Democrats than flipping of Republicans.
Keep in mind though that turnout was way way higher in 2020 than 2000 so I think 2016 raw vote totals are probably a better stat to use.
The Right Honourable Martin Brian Mulroney PC CC GOQ:
Quote from: Old School Republican on February 15, 2023, 11:32:35 PM
Quote from: Ontario Liber-toryan on February 09, 2023, 02:29:04 PM
Quote from: TDAS04 on February 03, 2023, 11:20:35 PM
Travis County, TX? Biden got 71%, yet Bush actually won it in 2000. (Granted, with a plurality thanks to Nader’s strong showing, but Bush still got 47%, a lot more than what Trump received.)
Travis County went from a population of 800k in 2000 and 1.3M in 2020, and the demographics of people moving to Austin skews very liberal.
Trump's 2020 performance in Travis County is actually a record for the Republicans, 161k votes, compared to Bush's 141k in 2000. But when you compare Biden and Gore, it's not even close. Gore got 125k votes. Biden got 436k.
Bush-Biden voters certainly exist in Travis County, but much less than seems at first glance. More an influx of Democrats than flipping of Republicans.
Keep in mind though that turnout was way way higher in 2020 than 2000 so I think 2016 raw vote totals are probably a better stat to use.
Fair point, 2016 had Trump getting fewer votes than Bush, but Clinton still more than doubled Gore's vote total. Travis County saw a shift among suburban college whites like everywhere else in the country, but the rapid leftward shift probably has much more to do with new arrivals
Alben Barkley:
My county's (Fayette KY) gotta be one, voted for Dubya twice then 60% for Biden.
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