43% Ron DeSantis (R)
37% Joe Biden (D-inc.)
38% Donald Trump (R)
35% Joe Biden (D-inc.)
One final note: our sample size of Hispanic voters is very small, especially given the split sample, but among these voters, Biden leads Trump 57%-25%, but trails DeSantis 49%-38%. Further investigation is required, but this suggests that some of Trump’s gains in 2020 among Hispanic voters could grow with a DeSantis candidacy.
January 5-8, 2022
N = 618
https://blueprintpolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/2024_AZ_election_preview.pdf