100% Democrat precincts

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February 02, 2023, 05:20:33 PM
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  100% Democrat precincts
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Author Topic: 100% Democrat precincts  (Read 1488 times)
Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,063

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« Reply #25 on: February 01, 2023, 01:49:18 PM »

The hilarious thing is that in the bay area, it's easier to find a 100% Trump precinct than a 100% Biden precinct.

Really? Where are they???

Here. I did find some Biden ones too, but the Trump ones are easier to spot. The irony that the only unanimous precinct in or next to Berkeley is for Trump.


What do you think explains the 100% near Berkley for Trump precinct? I wonder if it's home to a very small, isolated conservative religious community.
Are you talking about the one with only 1 voter or a different one? Either way, I'm just as interested in the question of why there's a precinct with only 1 voter as why they voted for Trump.

yeah same, that seems impossible. Even in the middle of nowhere I think that you'd just potentially have to travel a bit to get to the nearest polling place rather then have them set one up just for you.

In many states the basis for redistricting on DRA is Census block groups or similar rather than voting precincts, and voters are assigned to block groups. In addition, many states (maybe all states?) will have combined voting sites where multiple precincts all vote in person at the same location, especially in urban areas where precincts are very geographically small.

It's also the case at least in New York that voter anonymity rules require any precinct with very few voters (I think the cutoff is 30) to have some votes randomly reassigned to neighboring precincts within the same districts in results reporting in order to preserve the anonymity of votes. This shouldn't affect partisanship overall but might result in vote results in precincts with very few voters not actually reflecting the reality of that particular precinct.

Canada has that rule that polls with two few votes get blanked out and transferred to neighboring poll to preserve anonymity.   If only one vote, kind of blows cover on how the person voted.

Anyways for 100% precincts I was mostly referring to those with more than 10 votes, not your single vote or even as many as 4 votes (likely all from same household and family so vote same way).  Obama got 100% of votes in some with as many as 400 votes.  Looking through seems in 2020 very few if any of those.  I am guessing Obama being first African-American lead to probably higher support amongst African-Americans than Democrats normally get even though still very high for Democrats either way.
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