Rate Orange County, CA in this hypothetical 2024 matchup

[TDAS04]

At least likely Sanders/Warren.

Orange is now blue.

EDIT: I could see an argument for just lean D, but nothing less than that.

[Libertas Vel Mors]

Likely R because Democrats would lose by a huge margin nationwide with this match up, such that even an Orange that is substantially to the left of the country would vote Republican.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Likely R.  All Republicans won it in 2022.  I think California is actually going to trend somewhat Republican in coming years (while being a super safe state for the Democrats).  In a matchup where the Republican ticket is probably winning the NPV by ~5 points- with those swings disproportionately in the suburbs-, I can't see Democrats holding Orange County.  In fact, I think a non-Trump Republican nominee has a very good shot at it in 2024.