Was Florida going Republican in any matchup in 2020? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 28, 2024, 07:03:41 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Was Florida going Republican in any matchup in 2020? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Was Florida going Republican in any matchup in 2020?  (Read 1540 times)
TML
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,443


« on: December 13, 2022, 12:46:16 AM »

In 2020, it appears that major factors contributing to the relatively large margin in FL (compared to margins throughout the 2010s) included Democrats’ decision to reduce in-person campaigning as a result of the pandemic and their failure to adequately respond to misinformation about their party and their candidates (Obama did a pretty good job on the latter issue during his campaigns). Geographically speaking, aside from South Florida, another place where Democrats tanked and failed to make up ground was the suburban/exurban counties in the Orlando & Tampa areas. I think that if Democrats had adequately addressed the aforementioned issues, the end result in FL would probably have been not further right than R+2 or so. The keys to an actual Democratic victory in the state would have involved reducing Republican margins in the suburban/exurban counties in central FL to 2008-2014 levels, along with getting South FL Democratic margins back up to levels similar to Obama 2012, Crist 2014, and/or Gillum/Nelson 2018 (assuming that Clinton 2016 was an outlier).
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.018 seconds with 13 queries.