GA: Trafalgar Group: Sen. Warnock (D) +4

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: Georgia Senator by Trafalgar Group on 2022-12-05

Summary: D: 51%, R: 47%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[KaiserDave]

https://twitter.com/jebbush/status/929541504187686912?lang=en

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

Have to assume they think this is the margin Warnock will win by, so they manufacture this poll in an attempt to salvage their reputation.

[KaiserDave]

[Lief 🐋]

Any poll aggregator that does not permanently ban this fraudulent polling firm will be completely discredited.

[Stockdale for Veep]

The recently discredited firm that doesn't make up numbers just happens to have (likely) their largest ever D margin in a swing state?

And they say polling issues can't be solved!

[UncleSam]

They probably adjusted their methodology after their horrendous results in November.

[Command of what? There's no one here.]

As a great man once said, bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad LOL bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad bad

[Landslide Lyndon]

Oof!

https://twitter.com/USA_Polling/status/1600007158208528384

[Mr.Barkari Sellers]

It's not that they abandoned their philosophy, they are coordinating with Data4Progress and since D4P has WARNOCK up he is gonna win

[Brittain33]

I wonder if RCP puts this in their average

[wbrocks67]

L M A O

all these junk pollsters coming out of the woodwork to herd and try and salvage their 538 pollster ratings / reputation. i just-

[Sir Mohamed 🇺🇸 🇺🇦]

So if Trashfalgar has Warnock up by 4 pts, Walker is done?

My prediction is 51/49, though a margin twice as much wouldn't surprise me as things are going.

[Person Man]

I knew it.

[Person Man]

Oof!

https://twitter.com/USA_Polling/status/1600007158208528384

Sick burn

[Xing]

Look, fellas, we may have missed a lot in November, but that’s ancient history! Our most recent poll was spot on, surely that counts for… hey, wait, where are you all going?

[Zache]

Cowards. If you're going down at least go down fighting.

Post that Walker + 1.5 like you know you wanted to.

[Atlas Force]

Oof!

https://twitter.com/USA_Polling/status/1600007158208528384

[wbrocks67]

Look, fellas, we may have missed a lot in November, but that’s ancient history! Our most recent poll was spot on, surely that counts for… hey, wait, where are you all going?

The best is that they didn't even release it via social. They just quietly put it on their website. No tweets from Cahaly or the main account.

[Atlas Force]

Oof!

https://twitter.com/USA_Polling/status/1600007158208528384

https://twitter.com/davidgoldiner/status/1600128961186496512

[👁️👁️]

Have to assume they think this is the margin Warnock will win by, so they manufacture this poll in an attempt to salvage their reputation.

Yeah, either they changed their methodology (once again with no explanation) or they are just making numbers up herded in line with the other polls so that they can pretend in the future to be an accurate/reasonable pollster.

[wbrocks67]

Have to assume they think this is the margin Warnock will win by, so they manufacture this poll in an attempt to salvage their reputation.

Yeah, either they changed their methodology (once again with no explanation) or they are just making numbers up herded in line with the other polls so that they can pretend in the future to be an accurate/reasonable pollster.

Definitely the latter. Exactly why IA, Traf, Landmark, Mitchell, etc. (all pollsters who flopped big time this cycle) suddenly waited for everyone else to poll and then came out with theirs last minute.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Robert Cahaly: Please don't take away our rating, Mr. Silver.

[President Johnson]

Thank you, Frozen Pizza Man, very cool!

Indeed, it looks like Warnock is on track for a 52-48% or even 53-47% win. I think it will be closer, though the latest round of polling was encouraging here.

[MT Treasurer]

It will be an incredibly fitting end to this cycle (and Trafalgar's/other pollsters' record as well as much of CW) if Walker now actually wins this. Wrong both times, in both directions. It would really highlight how useless much of this business has become.