GA: Insider Advantage: Sen. Warnock (D) +2 (rounded: +3)

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

A few comments from a Georgia numbers guy:

https://twitter.com/stphnfwlr/status/1599868147191848960

I think it's more just a sign that the poll is fake.

Or just a symptom of low response rates leading to the same sort of systemically biased crosstab issues we see in many polls.

Although I guess in some sense that makes a poll "fake," but in that sense basically all polls are fake, because they basically all have these problems (especially Rs doing better with supposed minorities and young voters than in reality).

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Eh, I'm starting to wonder if places like Landmark, IA, Trafalgar do really just cook the books sometimes. They all have the *same* issues (Reps always doing better with Blacks, young voters, etc.) There's no way it's uniform across all those outfits consistently unless something was seriously off.

Those specific issues with those specific crosstabs have been a pattern for non-hack pollsters also though.