GA: Insider Advantage: Sen. Warnock (D) +2 (rounded: +3)
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  GA: Insider Advantage: Sen. Warnock (D) +2 (rounded: +3)
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Author Topic: GA: Insider Advantage: Sen. Warnock (D) +2 (rounded: +3)  (Read 1254 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: December 05, 2022, 12:27:18 PM »

New Poll: Georgia Senator by Insider Advantage on 2022-12-04

Summary: D: 51%, R: 48%, U: 1%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #1 on: December 05, 2022, 01:29:35 PM »

Itís over.
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #2 on: December 05, 2022, 01:40:17 PM »

It's over of INSIDE ADVANCTAGE has WARNOCK AHEAD , Biden at 37/57 Approvals these Pollsters like IPSOS Pay for Approvals just to be WRONG and Gas prices are 3.75
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Spectator
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« Reply #3 on: December 05, 2022, 01:42:46 PM »

Is this one of the sham GOP pollsters?
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #4 on: December 05, 2022, 01:48:14 PM »

Is this one of the sham GOP pollsters?


Slightly less of a sham as Trafalgar and Patriot Polls and Hunterís Laptop Polling Company, but still a GOP hack firm.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #5 on: December 05, 2022, 02:58:07 PM »

LMAO they're literally only returning to herd so that they don't get an F rating next time on 538.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #6 on: December 05, 2022, 02:59:54 PM »

Like, these 18-39, White, Independent, Black numbers are all still ridiculous. I feel like they essentially do the same thing that Traflagar "does" - have a topline # in mind that they want to get to, and then fudge where they can to make it work.

They can't seriously still be having Democrats losing 18-39 year olds after all of their messy polls in the midterms... come on now.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #7 on: December 05, 2022, 03:49:18 PM »

Is this even going to be close? Might be an early night.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #8 on: December 05, 2022, 06:34:11 PM »

A few comments from a Georgia numbers guy:


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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #9 on: December 05, 2022, 07:19:59 PM »

A few comments from a Georgia numbers guy:




I think it's more just a sign that the poll is fake.
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Former Pence Supporters for Dean Phillips (I guess???!?) 👁️
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« Reply #10 on: December 06, 2022, 11:59:02 AM »

A few comments from a Georgia numbers guy:



I think it's more just a sign that the poll is fake.

Or just a symptom of low response rates leading to the same sort of systemically biased crosstab issues we see in many polls.

Although I guess in some sense that makes a poll "fake," but in that sense basically all polls are fake, because they basically all have these problems (especially Rs doing better with supposed minorities and young voters than in reality).
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #11 on: December 06, 2022, 12:10:08 PM »
« Edited: December 06, 2022, 12:15:05 PM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

A few comments from a Georgia numbers guy:



I think it's more just a sign that the poll is fake.

Or just a symptom of low response rates leading to the same sort of systemically biased crosstab issues we see in many polls.

Although I guess in some sense that makes a poll "fake," but in that sense basically all polls are fake, because they basically all have these problems (especially Rs doing better with supposed minorities and young voters than in reality).

White females always switch up on us when Eday neara they were going for Ryan and Beasley and Crist then they changed R and they floated with Oz and Fetterman and LAXALT and CCM, nut we have a chance to win red states in 24 just like White female Laura Kelly won because Biden is back on ballot, it's not polls are fake white females switch on us constantly

Men always stock to their vote on QU poll when Walker started losing females supported WARNOCK due to Walker pro life abortion stances, but since Kemp isn't running Warnock is getting their votes

As far as blk females and Latino female it's gone due to fact Biden picked Latino and Blk female judges the on R Female Rs put up is Condi Rice 20 yrs with Bush W with Colin Powell and these blk men like Clarence Thomas like DeSantis are against Affirmative Action and Student Loan Discharge that's why DeSantis is gonna lose to Biden Biden is gonna make an ad specific that DeSantis is against Student Loan Discharge and he is an Ivy League Lawyer hypocritical
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #12 on: December 06, 2022, 01:54:32 PM »

A few comments from a Georgia numbers guy:



I think it's more just a sign that the poll is fake.

Or just a symptom of low response rates leading to the same sort of systemically biased crosstab issues we see in many polls.

Although I guess in some sense that makes a poll "fake," but in that sense basically all polls are fake, because they basically all have these problems (especially Rs doing better with supposed minorities and young voters than in reality).

Eh, I'm starting to wonder if places like Landmark, IA, Trafalgar do really just cook the books sometimes. They all have the *same* issues (Reps always doing better with Blacks, young voters, etc.) There's no way it's uniform across all those outfits consistently unless something was seriously off.
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Former Pence Supporters for Dean Phillips (I guess???!?) 👁️
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« Reply #13 on: December 06, 2022, 03:18:42 PM »

Eh, I'm starting to wonder if places like Landmark, IA, Trafalgar do really just cook the books sometimes. They all have the *same* issues (Reps always doing better with Blacks, young voters, etc.) There's no way it's uniform across all those outfits consistently unless something was seriously off.

Those specific issues with those specific crosstabs have been a pattern for non-hack pollsters also though.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #14 on: December 06, 2022, 03:39:51 PM »

Eh, I'm starting to wonder if places like Landmark, IA, Trafalgar do really just cook the books sometimes. They all have the *same* issues (Reps always doing better with Blacks, young voters, etc.) There's no way it's uniform across all those outfits consistently unless something was seriously off.

Those specific issues with those specific crosstabs have been a pattern for non-hack pollsters also though.

True, but not to the extent of these ones though. It's just like IA, who consistently, poll after poll, had the Republican winning "other" (hispanic/asian) race like 75-15 in a ton of polls. It was so ridiculously consistent that there's just no way you could come up with that # over and over again unless you were fudging things to come out to the desired overall result.
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