Mississippi Megathread 2023

[Spectator]

This is obviously a long shot, but I don't think it's Safe R. Generally these sorts of upsets require a great D candidate, a very unpopular R candidate, and a great national environment (a la KY-GOV 2019). This race has 2/3, that alone makes it Likely R imo

I feel like Reeves would have to be extremely unpopular to lose even to a candidate as good as Presley or Hood. Like in the low 30s in popularity.

[Spectator]

Much as I’d like to see Presley win for the sake of having a sane, conservative Democrat in the monolithically red south, I won’t believe it will happen until I see it.

[Spectator]

I think if Trump were a second-term President that Presley very well may have won.

[Spectator]

Describe a white voter from MS who voted for Biden in 2020 but reeves in 23

Probably a small number of people in places like Madison County and Lafayette County.