Which Biden seat Republicans outside CA/NY survive past 2024?
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  Which Biden seat Republicans outside CA/NY survive past 2024?
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Poll
Question: Which of the remaining Biden seat Republicans survive past 2024?
#1
David Schweikert
 
#2
Juan Ciscomani
 
#3
Don Bacon
 
#4
Tom Kean Jr.
 
#5
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
 
#6
Brian Fitzpatrick
 
#7
Jen Kiggans
 
#8
None of them
 
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Total Voters: 27

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Author Topic: Which Biden seat Republicans outside CA/NY survive past 2024?  (Read 440 times)
Tekken_Guy
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« on: December 03, 2022, 02:45:33 AM »

Which of the other Biden-district Republicans outside of New York and California survive past 2024?
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #1 on: December 03, 2022, 03:08:35 AM »

Fitzpatrick and Bacon (if he runs for his House seat rather than for some other office) are the certainties.
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Spectator
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« Reply #2 on: December 03, 2022, 09:08:27 AM »

Probably Fitzpatrick and Kiggans. Bacon had a close call this year and could go down in a more unfavorable year.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #3 on: December 03, 2022, 12:39:17 PM »

Fitzpatrick, Kean, and Bacon probably hold on, though Bacon could be vulnerable against the right opponent. Kiggans might win, though I’d say her race will be competitive. The other three probably lose against credible opponents (assuming the DCCC doesn’t bail on their races again.)
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #4 on: December 03, 2022, 04:43:59 PM »

I think the bottom 4 can hold their seats until the next Dem wave.
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TwinGeeks99
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« Reply #5 on: December 03, 2022, 07:15:33 PM »

I was on the fence about voting for Tom Kean, but I ultimately decided against it because he actually underperformed compared to 2020 if you account for the reddening of the district. The 7th is rapidly trending Democratic, and with Malinowski's stronger than expected showing this year there is a real chance for him to win it back in 2024.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #6 on: December 03, 2022, 07:23:16 PM »

Bacon and Fitzpatrick survived blue waves and can probably do it again.

All the rest can and will probably go down during the next one at least.
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