Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 30,282
Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91
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« on: December 02, 2022, 08:06:17 PM » |
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NY-01: LaLota probably wins. Likely R.
NY-03: Really a big question mark to me, depends on how Santos presents himself. Toss-Up for now.
NY-04: D’Esposito is probably screwed no matter what he does, unless 2024 is a red wave or the results in NY were indicative of a huge shift to the right instead of turnout problems for Democrats. Lean/Likely D.
NY-17: Lawler has a chance, though he’ll be an underdog against an opponent better than SPM. Tilt/Lean D.
NY-19: Molinaro seems like he’d be a bit more likely to outrun the partisanship of the district, so I think he’ll be harder for Democrats to take out. Tilt/Lean R.
NY-22: Sort of like NY-03, depends a lot on what Williams does. Toss-Up for now, maybe slight Tilt R.
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