Rate NE-02 in a Biden v DeSantis race
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  Rate NE-02 in a Biden v DeSantis race		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Rate NE-02 in a Biden v DeSantis race
#1
Safe D		  
#2
Likely D		  
#3
Lean D		  
#4
Tilt D		  
#5
Tilt R		  
#6
Lean R		  
#7
Likely R		  
#8
Safe R		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 33

Author Topic: Rate NE-02 in a Biden v DeSantis race  (Read 468 times)
Ferguson97
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« on: December 05, 2022, 08:13:10 PM »
?
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Joe Boden
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« Reply #1 on: December 05, 2022, 08:22:15 PM »
Tilt D. Would go to Biden by 1.5% or so. Would vote to the right of Michigan and possibly Pennsylvania
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #2 on: December 05, 2022, 10:10:56 PM »
Still leaning D. Bacon only won by like 3 this year despite being an incumbent and Ds barely investing.

Also, was Biden + 6.3 in 2020, which is decently blue.

DeSantis winning it would indicate a significant reversion in most stereotypical suburban areas around the country, which would be disastrous to Biden.
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TodayJunior
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« Reply #3 on: December 06, 2022, 11:33:15 AM »
This is a great bellwether for other states that are suburban-dominant like GA/NV/AZ/MI/PA. Considering it ended up being about EVEN relative to the NPV, I'd say it starts off as D+3 since Dems typically have the upper hand in presidential elections.

Should NE-02 fluctuate 3-4 points to the right, that likely pulls in PA/AZ/GA to the GOP. Should it fluctuate 4 points to the left, Texas is in serious play.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #4 on: December 06, 2022, 03:24:52 PM »
Lean Democratic. Closer to Tilt though. And closer to likely with Trump.
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Ljube
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« Reply #5 on: December 06, 2022, 05:45:00 PM »
Not sure. Maybe tossup.
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Sirius_
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« Reply #6 on: December 06, 2022, 08:18:01 PM »
Tilt, maybe lean D. It seems to have a slight democratic slant but it hasn't actually voted dem all that many times.
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