Outside Texas, do Dems have any realistic Senate pickup opportunities?

[Vosem]

MS and FL are both probably possible given very specific kinds of landslides, but trends there in 2022 were very bleak in ways that don't seem like one-offs.

My off-the-wall suggestion here might be ND: Cramer is a weak incumbent and he seems on track to lose the convention endorsement to Rick Becker, who nearly knocked off Hoeven; Cramer could come back in the primary but I think the requirements to qualify for it after losing a convention have been tightened (?!), and we'll plausibly see a three-way race here. (Even if it's Becker who ends up running as the third-party candidate, like in 2022, Hoeven is a much stronger candidate than Cramer). ND also has a living Democratic party and they seriously contested some races as recently as 2018 (Senate and Secretary of State); it's also a more elastic state than most of these Southern places. The idea of a flukish Democratic pickup in a three-way contest, which would have to be amidst a national landslide, is very unlikely, but if we're discussing things like MS then this might be on about the same wavelength.

[Vosem]

Florida is the most likely pickup. I'll be contrarian and say that it's a mistake to interpret the Democratic Party's recent slide with Latinos in Florida as part of some long-run trend or terminal decline. Up until 2020, Democrats had been gaining strength with Cubans and South Americans in Miami in every election. There is a real possibility of Democrats recovering, perhaps in a profound way, that I wouldn't write-off, even if I think it's unlikely.

I read that Florida Hispanics turned against Democrats because Republicans constantly accuse them of being socialists and communists. But isn't this happening for the last 50-60 years? Why did they start to believe it only after 2018?

Prior to the Sanders campaign in 2016 Democrats usually tried to defend themselves from this charge, you see.