Florida is the most likely pickup. I'll be contrarian and say that it's a mistake to interpret the Democratic Party's recent slide with Latinos in Florida as part of some long-run trend or terminal decline. Up until 2020, Democrats had been gaining strength with Cubans and South Americans in Miami in every election. There is a real possibility of Democrats recovering, perhaps in a profound way, that I wouldn't write-off, even if I think it's unlikely.
I read that Florida Hispanics turned against Democrats because Republicans constantly accuse them of being socialists and communists. But isn't this happening for the last 50-60 years? Why did they start to believe it only after 2018?
