Outside Texas, do Dems have any realistic Senate pickup opportunities? (user search)
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  Outside Texas, do Dems have any realistic Senate pickup opportunities? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Outside Texas, do Dems have any realistic Senate pickup opportunities?  (Read 1473 times)
Spectator
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Posts: 3,382
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« on: November 27, 2022, 07:33:38 PM »

Just Texas unless a vancancy opens up elsewhere. Indiana and Missouri are long gone, and Florida is probably off the table unless it’s a Trump rematch and Biden is up nationally a bunch.
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Spectator
Sr. Member
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Posts: 3,382
United States


« Reply #1 on: November 29, 2022, 12:15:18 PM »

Florida is the most likely pickup. I'll be contrarian and say that it's a mistake to interpret the Democratic Party's recent slide with Latinos in Florida as part of some long-run trend or terminal decline. Up until 2020, Democrats had been gaining strength with Cubans and South Americans in Miami in every election. There is a real possibility of Democrats recovering, perhaps in a profound way, that I wouldn't write-off, even if I think it's unlikely.

I read that Florida Hispanics turned against Democrats because Republicans constantly accuse them of being socialists and communists. But isn't this happening for the last 50-60 years? Why did they start to believe it only after 2018?

My theory is that Sanders and AOC and co. took on a more prominent role in the party in 2020 in a way where there weren’t very many visible socialists in the party before. Otherwise you’re right. There’s no other explanation for why all of a sudden the message started resonating more than before.
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