Outside Texas, do Dems have any realistic Senate pickup opportunities? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 28, 2024, 07:53:45 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Outside Texas, do Dems have any realistic Senate pickup opportunities? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Outside Texas, do Dems have any realistic Senate pickup opportunities?  (Read 1471 times)
S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,327
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

« on: November 27, 2022, 08:34:34 PM »

Florida could be gettable if there's a Dem landslide, but realistically no.
Logged
S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,327
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

« Reply #1 on: December 02, 2022, 02:06:00 AM »

Even assuming there is some Democratic recovery among Florida Latinos I don’t think they’ll be able to out-pace the growth of the retiree and other conservative white vote there under Governor DeSantis and of course the ultimate NY-to-FL retiree, the 45th President himself.

Its reputation as a conservative state is self-perpetuating at this point.

Yeah this is the problem, even if a Dem gets Clinton numbers in Dade again, those exurbs and retiree communities are very, very red. The best way for a Dem to win FL these days is via lopsided turnout (i.e. good turnout in the cities and poor turnout in the rurals and exurbs)
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.026 seconds with 12 queries.