What would a second Bush-Quayle term look like for America?
Suburbia:
Poppy Bush easily defeats Bill Clinton in 1992.
1993 to 1997: What happens?
Who is the 1996 GOP presidential nominee?
dw93:
Welp, the U.S. intervention in Somalia sees a less messy ending than it did under Clinton, Rwanda still sees no intervention from the U.S. or its allies, and there's probably even more reluctance on Bush's part to intervene in Bosnia than there was on Clinton's part, so 50/50 the U.S intervene there. U.S. policy towards Iraq and Russia more or less stays the same. Not sure about North Korea.
On the domestic front, there's obviously no upper class tax increase and very obviously no push for healthcare reform. Bush is more or less a lame duck from the start of any 2nd term and with the 1994 midterms see a blue ripple instead of the red wave that was seen with Clinton, as the GOP is still likely to gain ground in the south, dampening any gains the Democrats make elsewhere, the north east and likely the Rust Belt in particular, he's only gonna be an even lamer duck in 1995 and 96. I honestly think White and Blackmun wait Bush out instead of retiring in 1993 and 94 respectively, so Bush has no Supreme Court appointments in a 2nd term. The economy more or less fairs the same.
As for the 96 election I think it's either Dan Quayle or, as in real life, Bob Dole that emerge as the nominee as the GOP is gonna have even less options going into 1996 with 1994 being a Democratic year. On the Democratic side, there's going to be a pretty crowded field, with either a re elected Mario Cuomo, a re elected Ann Richards, Al Gore, should his senate seat not be at risk, or Dick Gephardt emerging as the Democratic nominee. The Democrats, despite a good economy, manage to beat Dole or Quayle with relative ease in the general election. Bush leaves office with an approval rating that's roughly the same or slightly higher than the one he left office with in real life, and has a slight better historical standing to boot. Whichever Democrat that's elected in 1996 likely rides any dotcom boom to re election in 2000, only to see their party get crushed in 2002 and likely oversee a narrow Republican win in 2004.
Agonized-Statism:
Maybe Jack Kemp would shoot for the nomination in 1996 as an incumbent cabinet secretary. Maybe even Newt Gingrich himself? Otherwise, probably Dole. With a better shot at winning after 16 years of Republican administration and a truly post-Reagan changing of the guard, Democrats would likely run someone known a lot better nationally than Clinton. Probably Gore or Cuomo, maybe Kerry, possibly Ann Richards.
darklordoftech:
Bush would get blamed for NAFTA and the Waco Siege, which would prevent Democrats from being blamed for either policy.
dw93:
Quote from: darklordoftech on November 25, 2022, 10:06:52 PM
Bush would get blamed for NAFTA and the Waco Siege, which would prevent Democrats from being blamed for either policy.
Bush getting blamed for the later would've certainly impacted the rise of right wing militias we saw in the mid 90's and the Bush getting blamed on the former might've very well led to a more populist Democratic party emerging in the mid 90s as well.
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