Malaysia State Elections: Penang, Selangor, N9, Kelantan, T'ganu, Kedah 2023 and by-elections 2023
Novelty:
PH and PAS-led states had decided not to hold its state polls concurrently with the recent general election on November 19 2022. Their terms end on the following dates:
Selangor 26/6/23
Kelantan 28/6/23
T'ganu 1/7/23
N9 2/7/23
Kedah 4/7/23
Penang 2/9/23
and elections have to be held before 25/8/23 for Selangor up to 2/9/23 for Penang.
Penang, Selangor and Negri Sembilan are led by PH while Kedah, Kelantan and Terengganu are led by PAS.
Penang open to discussing simultaneous polls with five other states
jaichind:
If the new PH-BN grand alliance does not do a good job to show that DAP has very little if any power within the new government this is a great chance for PN to sweep the Malay areas of these states. In such a case they will not win Penang nor Selangor but will become a powerful opposition to PH in those states while sweeping the rest.
jaichind:
I wonder if PH will just back BN in Terengganu and Kelantan in return for BN withdrawing some candidates where BN cannot win on their own in other states.
jaichind:
PH and BN will have a seat-sharing alliance in all 6 states with details coming out soon. It seems the seat allocation will come out soon.
I am sure the algorithm will be
1) All DAP seats will be contested by DAP
2) All >70% Malay seats will be contested by UMNO which would include most of the seats won by PPBM last time as part of the PH alliance
3) Most seats won by PKR and AMANAH held seats will be contested by the incumbent party although some very rural heavy Malay seats might be handed over to BN
4) UMNO might give a couple of seats here and there from its allocated seats to MCA and MIC
This will pretty much mean that in Terengganu and Kelantan UMNO will pretty much contest all the seats with PH support. In Kedah it will be mostly UMNO but there will be a couple of DAP seats (Chinese heavy areas) and PKR seats (mixed areas)
In Selangor, Negeri Sembilan and Penang, all Chinese, Indian and mixed seats will goto PH and all Malay seats would go to UMNO with a few from UMNO's quota going to MCA or MIC.
The result will most likely be a wipeout for UMNO. DAP, PKR, and AMANAH will hold almost all the Chinese Indian and mixed seats while BN will be crushed by PAS-PPBM in the Malay seats.
Joseph Cao:
Just reported that Selangor state assembly will dissolve on the 23rd. Kelantan has already announced it will go on the 22nd and Penang on the 28th. The other three have not announced yet but presumably all state elections will be held on the same date.
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