California post-election analysis thread
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ottermax
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« Reply #50 on: December 11, 2022, 02:37:23 PM »


Tbh the whole concept of moving out all the way to the Central Valley just to commute to the Bay Area for white-collar tech work strikes me as absurd given how prevalent remote work is for that industry nowadays. I know housing is prohibitively expensive in California but still...

Many great points and clarifications from kwabbit and Aurelius.

It just so happens that my bubble in the Central Valley is only supercommuters. I know that my boyfriend's parents did the supercommute simply because Modesto was the closest place they could afford a single family home with high quality schools (Tracy and other San Joaquin cities I guess don't have that reputation). That being said none of these people supercommute anymore - they either have jobs based in the Modesto area or work remotely. And as mentioned by others these are non-college educated workers who don't fit the "tech worker" stereotype although many worker in tech-related jobs, and therefore much more right-leaning than the rest of the region.

All of this being said - I have no idea who is paying 600k+ to buy homes in San Joaquin and Stanislaus County. I just assumed these newcomers must have tech jobs or are selling real estate in the Bay Area to find more space.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #51 on: December 11, 2022, 03:07:11 PM »
« Edited: December 25, 2022, 10:52:02 AM by Gracile »

State Senate Republicans want to block Melissa Hurtado from being seated despite every county in her district certifying totals. She won by 20 votes. Republicans are making erroneous claims of uncounted votes.

https://gvwire.com/2022/12/09/gop-state-senate-leaders-want-to-block-hurtado-victory/
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ottermax
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« Reply #52 on: December 13, 2022, 03:27:18 PM »

State Senate Republicans want to block Melissa Hurtado from being seated despite every county in her district certifying totals. She won by 20 votes. Republicans are making erroneous claims of uncounted votes.



What is the state GOP stance on Greg Wallis's win in AD-47? Truly bizarre that they would criticize elections in GOP run counties especially...
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lfromnj
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« Reply #53 on: December 19, 2022, 02:33:10 PM »



Christy Smith barely managed to outperform the Dem auditor candidate who barely won by double digits statewide.
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« Reply #54 on: December 19, 2022, 04:12:42 PM »

Hurtado's victory in SD-16 is impressive in light of SD-16 being to the right of CA-22 by a decent amount.
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« Reply #55 on: December 20, 2022, 02:38:36 PM »


Christy Smith barely managed to outperform the Dem auditor candidate who barely won by double digits statewide.

Lanhee Chen was probably the best possible R candidate for the statewide office that would’ve had the least negative political impact for Dems/the Left if it were held by a Republican.

I have no idea who is paying 600k+ to buy homes in San Joaquin and Stanislaus County. I just assumed these newcomers must have tech jobs or are selling real estate in the Bay Area to find more space.

Wonder if they could be foreign nationals looking to buy property on US soil? I don’t understand why China’s rentier class would want to purchase real estate in the boonies, away from the Bay Area or Metro LA but I guess they don’t have to be rich PRC folks or even ethnic Chinese? Guess demand creates its own supply…
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« Reply #56 on: December 24, 2022, 04:11:42 PM »
« Edited: December 24, 2022, 09:10:04 PM by Хahar 🤔 »

State Senate Republicans want to block Melissa Hurtado from being seated despite every county in her district certifying totals. She won by 20 votes. Republicans are making erroneous claims of uncounted votes.

What is the state GOP stance on Greg Wallis's win in AD-47? Truly bizarre that they would criticize elections in GOP run counties especially...

This isn't directly relevant, but I knew the Wallis family very well growing up, although I haven't spoken to Greg in a decade. His father, who was head of the California Dental Association, coached my baseball teams starting when I was ten years old in Little League and going up through my high school varsity team. (When my father was hired by a defense contractor more than fifteen years ago, the government interviewed Ken Wallis to confirm my father's loyalty to the American way of life.) His younger brother was my teammate on all of those teams and also on the high school football team. Greg was several years older than me, but he was also a coach on my Little League teams.

Prior to this election he was working for Chad Mayes, which is interesting because it would suggest that he's not like other Republicans. We'll see how true that ends up being.

I have no idea who is paying 600k+ to buy homes in San Joaquin and Stanislaus County. I just assumed these newcomers must have tech jobs or are selling real estate in the Bay Area to find more space.

Wonder if they could be foreign nationals looking to buy property on US soil? I don’t understand why China’s rentier class would want to purchase real estate in the boonies, away from the Bay Area or Metro LA but I guess they don’t have to be rich PRC folks or even ethnic Chinese? Guess demand creates its own supply…

I am confident that PRC nationals are not the ones buying houses in San Joaquin County. My mother has long dreamed of buying a house in Tracy and moving there, but these dreams have foundered as each time my father has pointed out that the house in the Santa Clara Valley is fully paid off and moving to Tracy would make everyone's life worse for no benefit.

I have some family friends who live out there; one couple in Tracy owns about half a dozen houses in the Valley and makes all its income from rent on those, but the rest work in the tech industry. Remote work makes it easier, as does only having to come to the office two or three days a week. If you work in the Livermore Valley (increasingly a secondary tech hub), the commute is not especially long. And a lot of people just do live in Mountain House or Tracy and commute to the South Bay, because you can get a real house out there for less than a million dollars. Google runs three buses every morning that start in Modesto and stop in Tracy and Livermore before proceeding to the office: there's wi-fi on the bus and you can count the time you spend toward your working hours.

If you ignore the voting patterns, which are a consequence of the Bay Area's unique ethnic demographics, the Bay Area exurbs are just like exurbs anywhere else. I don't think there's anything mysterious about them at all.
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« Reply #57 on: December 27, 2022, 06:19:41 AM »

Orange County flipped back into the red column for the Governor and the Senate. The two congresswomen, 43rd and 47th districs I think, held with higher margins than 2020 IIRC, maybe the LA times could write an obituary for their obituary on OCC's rep leanings now  Wink
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« Reply #58 on: December 27, 2022, 08:47:40 PM »
« Edited: December 27, 2022, 09:49:17 PM by Interlocutor »

Orange County flipped back into the red column for the Governor and the Senate. The two congresswomen, 43rd and 47th districs I think, held with higher margins than 2020 IIRC, maybe the LA times could write an obituary for their obituary on OCC's rep leanings now  Wink

Considering the best the non-Chen GOP could muster in OC in a comparatively low-turnout midterm with complacent/lazy Dems were <5 point margins, I don't know if I'd be so cocky just yet
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« Reply #59 on: December 28, 2022, 04:21:19 AM »

Orange County flipped back into the red column for the Governor and the Senate. The two congresswomen, 43rd and 47th districs I think, held with higher margins than 2020 IIRC, maybe the LA times could write an obituary for their obituary on OCC's rep leanings now  Wink

Considering the best the non-Chen GOP could muster in OC in a comparatively low-turnout midterm with complacent/lazy Dems were <5 point margins, I don't know if I'd be so cocky just yet

I am aware of this, it was more of a jab at the L.A Times than anything serious. I sincerely doubt OC to be red for the 2024 presidential election, Romney seems to be the last with that honor.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #60 on: January 11, 2023, 06:51:36 PM »



Governor 2022 - Recall/No 2021  (No+ 5.4)

Biggest swings
1.  Colusa                      No  +11.0
2.  San Benito                No    +9.0
3.  San Joaquin              No    +8.8
4.  Monterey                  No    +8.0
5.  Sutter, Glenn             No    +7.8

Weakest swings
1.  Lassen                      No    +0.2
2.  Inyo, San Francisco   No    +1.4
4.  Mono, Yuba               No    +1.8






Governor 2022 - Governor 2018  (R +5.4)

Biggest GOP swings
1.  Lassen, Stanislaus   R  +14.0
3.  Colusa                    R  +13.6
4.  Merced, Tulare         R  +12.8

Biggest Dem swings
1.  Inyo, Marin             D    +1.0
3.  Contra Costa          D    +0.2






Governor 2022 - Governor 2014  (R +1.6)

Biggest GOP swings
1.  Lassen           R +33.4
2.  Colusa           R +29.6
3.  Lake              R +25.6
4.  Amador          R +24.6
5.  Shasta           R +21.8

Biggest Dem swings
1.  San Diego      D  +9.4
2.  Orange          D  +8.2
3.  Inyo              D  +5.0
4.  Mono             D  +3.0
5.  Ventura          D  +2.8





Controller 2022 - Controller 2014  (D +2.6)

Biggest GOP swings
1.  Lassen                        R +18.6
2.  Lake                           R +17.0
3.  Amador                      R +14.0
4.  Del Norte, Siskiyou      R +12.4

Biggest Dem swings
1.  Orange                       D +14.4
2.  Merced, San Diego      D +10.4
4.  Mono                         D   +9.6
5.  Inyo                          D   +8.4
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« Reply #61 on: January 11, 2023, 07:30:29 PM »



Governor 2022 - Senate 2022 (Padilla +3.8 )

Biggest overperformances
1.  Colusa      Padilla  +10.4
2.  Lassen      Padilla  +10.2
3.  Glenn        Padilla   +8.4
4.  Plumas      Padilla   +8.2
5.  Imperial    Padilla   +8.0

Weakest overperformances
1.  San Francisco                                         Padilla +0.4
2.  Alameda, Orange                                    Padilla +2.0
4.  Marin                                                      Padilla +2.2
5.  Contra Costa, San Mateo, Santa Clara      Padilla +2.8







Governor 2022 - Controller 2022  (Chen +7.8 )

Biggest Dahle overperformances
1.  Lassen                   Dahle  +6.8
2.  Modoc                   Dahle   +6.0
3.  Glenn                    Dahle   +4.6
4.  Colusa, Tehama     Dahle   +4.4

Biggest Chen overperformances
1. San Francisco           Chen +19.0
2. Santa Clara              Chen +13.4
3. Marin                       Chen +13.2
4. San Mateo                Chen +13.0
5. Alameda                   Chen +11.4
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ottermax
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« Reply #62 on: January 12, 2023, 01:54:53 PM »

Thanks for posting those maps.

I wonder if the rise of the SoCal democrats portends good news for Katie Porter - when's the last time both Senators were Southern Californians?
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« Reply #63 on: January 18, 2023, 09:48:16 PM »



Governor 2022 - Controller 2022  (Chen +7.8 )

Biggest Dahle overperformances
1.  Lassen                   Dahle  +6.8
2.  Modoc                   Dahle   +6.0
3.  Glenn                    Dahle   +4.6
4.  Colusa, Tehama     Dahle   +4.4

Biggest Chen overperformances
1. San Francisco           Chen +19.0
2. Santa Clara              Chen +13.4
3. Marin                       Chen +13.2
4. San Mateo                Chen +13.0
5. Alameda                   Chen +11.4

What was the overperformance margin for LA County?
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« Reply #64 on: January 19, 2023, 02:36:26 PM »

1.  Lassen                   Dahle  +6.8
1. San Francisco           Chen +19.0

What was the overperformance margin for LA County?

Chen +10.4
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Хahar 🤔
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« Reply #65 on: February 23, 2023, 02:31:46 AM »

Here's something I thought would be useful: gubernatorial swing from 2010 to 2018.



It's striking how different the map from 2010 looks: Orange was one of Whitman's best counties, while Brown came within eight points (738 votes) of carrying Lassen. In the span of just eight years, Orange swung 20 points Democratic while Lassen swung 47 points Republican. That was an anomaly, as Del Norte at 26 points was the only other county in the state to swing more than 20 points toward Republicans, but of course in any case that's a trade that Democrats would gladly make.

It's really striking how strong Jerry Brown was in the historically Democratic counties of the far north (he had carried many of those counties in his 1974 gubernatorial campaign and all of them in his campaign for secretary of state four years prior) and how quickly that all went away. Part of that was that Gavin Newsom was a foreign city politician (he ran well behind Brown in that region in his lieutenant gubernatorial campaigns) and part of it was just the changes in politics in the intervening eight years.
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« Reply #66 on: February 24, 2023, 07:55:00 PM »

So I’ve been able to track down most of the municipal results in California for the 2022 midterm election on my own. I’m only missing cities in Colusa (2: Colusa, Williams), Del Norte (1: Crescent City), Plumas (1: Portola), Tehama (3: Corning, Red Bluff, Tehama), and Tuolumne (1: Sonora) counties, so take these results with a grain of salt as there are still eight cities still outstanding for which I don’t have any results.

First, here's a look at how the cities that flipped from 2016 to 2020 in the presidential elections voted.

Donald J. Trump 2016/Joe Biden 2020 Cities (19)
• Crescent City (Trump+ 01.46, Biden+ 02.20)
o   CA-GOV: No data available
o   CA-SEN: No data available
 
• Placerville (Trump+ 00.07, Biden+ 05.19)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 2,156 (53.27%) — Newsom 1,891 (46.73%) = R+ 06.54
o   CA-SEN: Padilla 2,006 (50.39%) — Meuser 1,975 (49.61%) = D+ 00.78

• Bradbury (Trump+ 00.79, Biden+ 04.80)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 184 (58.97%) — Newsom 128 (41.03%) = R+ 17.94
o   CA-SEN: Meuser 178 (57.05%) — Padilla 134 (42.95%) = R+ 14.10

• La Verne (Trump+ 00.70, Biden+ 03.01)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 6,752 (54.53%) — Newsom 5,631 (45.47%) = R+ 09.06
o   CA-SEN: Meuser 6,428 (51.94%) — Padilla 5,949 (48.06%) = R+ 03.88

• Brea (Trump+ 03.62, Biden+ 02.98)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 9,057 (55.65%) — Newsom 7,219 (44.35%) = R+ 11.30
o   CA-SEN: Meuser 8,835 (53.88%) — Padilla 7,564 (46.12%) = R+ 07.76

• Laguna Hills (Trump+ 01.36, Biden+ 05.85)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 6,267 (52.92%) — Newsom 5,575 (47.08%) = R+ 05.84
o   CA-SEN: Meuser 6,234 (51.97%) — Padilla 5,761 (48.03%) = R+ 03.94

• Laguna Niguel (Trump+ 01.72, Biden+ 04.70)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 14,969 (53.27%) — Newsom 13,129 (46.73%) = R+ 06.54
o   CA-SEN: Meuser 14,868 (51.94%) — Padilla 13,760 (48.06%) = R+ 03.88

• Lake Forest (Trump+ 00.76, Biden+ 06.98)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 15,471 (51.80%) — Newsom 14,393 (48.20%) = R+ 03.60
o   CA-SEN: Meuser 15,360 (50.76%) — Padilla 14,901 (49.24%) = R+ 01.52
 
• Mission Viejo (Trump+ 05.97, Biden+ 01.98)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 21,916 (54.93%) — Newsom 17,984 (45.07%) = R+ 08.96
o   CA-SEN: Meuser 21,549 (53.27%) — Padilla 18,906 (46.73%) = R+ 06.54
 
• Banning (Trump+ 02.95, Biden+ 02.43)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 4,550 (54.02%) — Newsom 3,873 (45.98%) = R+ 08.04
o   CA-SEN: Meuser 4,318 (52.25%) — Padilla 3,946 (47.75%) = R+ 04.50
   
• Hemet (Trump+ 08.86, Biden+ 00.45)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 10,931 (54.49%) — Newsom 9,131 (45.51%) = R+ 08.98
o   CA-SEN: Meuser 10,503 (53.30%) — Padilla 9,203 (46.70%) = R+ 06.60

• La Quinta (Trump+ 06.66, Biden+ 01.95)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 8,313 (53.58%) — Newsom 7,201 (46.42%) = R+ 07.16
o   CA-SEN: Meuser 8,012 (52.48%) — Padilla 7,254 (47.52%) = R+ 04.96

• Lake Elsinore (Trump+ 02.19, Biden+ 01.32)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 8,102 (55.45%) — Newsom 6,509 (44.55%) = R+ 10.90
o   CA-SEN: Meuser 7,709 (53.68%) — Padilla 6,652 (46.32%) = R+ 07.36

• Palm Desert (Trump+ 02.00, Biden+ 07.60)
o   CA-GOV: Newsom 10,547 (51.84%) — Dahle 9,799 (48.16%) = D+ 03.68
o   CA-SEN: Padilla 10,564 (52.76%) — Meuser 9,460 (47.24%) = D+ 05.52

• Coronado (Trump+ 02.14, Biden+ 07.26)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 3,996 (53.11%) — Newsom 3,528 (46.89%) = R+ 06.22
o   CA-SEN: Meuser 3,862 (51.70%) — Padilla 3,608 (48.30%) = R+ 03.40

• Poway (Trump+ 04.55, Biden+ 04.58)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 11,072 (53.25%) — Newsom 9,721 (46.75%) = R+ 06.50
o   CA-SEN: Meuser 10,512 (51.28%) — Padilla 9,986 (48.72%) = R+ 02.56

• Atascadero (Trump+ 04.17, Biden+ 01.50)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 7,246 (54.49%) — Newsom 6,052 (45.51%) = R+ 08.98
o   CA-SEN: Meuser 6,837 (52.11%) — Padilla 6,283 (47.89%) = R+ 04.22

• Solvang (Trump+ 01.18, Biden+ 08.86)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 1,393 (51.50%) — Newsom 1,312 (48.50%) = R+ 03.00
o   CA-SEN: Padilla 1,344 (50.22%) — Meuser 1,332 (49.78%) = D+ 00.44

• Simi Valley (Trump+ 04.02, Biden+ 00.89)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 26,224 (54.90%) — Newsom 21,542 (45.10%) = R+ 09.80
o   CA-SEN: Meuser 25,186 (53.52%) — Padilla 21,869 (46.48%) = R+ 07.04

Hillary Rodham Clinton 2016/Donald J. Trump 2020 Cities (3)
• Fountain Valley (Clinton+ 00.31, Trump+ 03.87)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 11,510 (54.53%) — Newsom 9,598 (45.47%) = R+ 09.06
o   CA-SEN: Meuser 11,704 (54.69%) — Padilla 9,695 (45.31%) = R+ 09.38

• Westminster (Clinton+ 15.37, Trump+ 09.15)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 13,100 (53.74%) — Newsom 11,278 (46.26%) = R+ 07.48
o   CA-SEN: Meuser 13,630 (55.68%) — Padilla 10,851 (44.32%) = R+ 11.36

• Porterville (Clinton+ 01.59, Trump+ 00.33)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 5,455 (57.77%) — Newsom 3,987 (42.23%) = R+ 15.54
o   CA-SEN: Meuser 5,205 (55.47%) — Padilla 4,178 (44.53%) = R+ 10.94

Secondly, here are some red-to-blue and blue-to-red (flipped) cities in the gubernatorial election between incumbent Gov. Gavin C. Newsom (D) and State Senator Brian D. Dahle (R). I also have municipal results for all of the other statewide races (Lieutenant Governor, Secretary of State, State Controller, State Treasurer, Attorney General, State Insurance Commissioner, and U.S. Senator) if anyone is interested in seeing any of those (will try to promptly respond to as many individual requests as I get for those). I also have individual city results for all of the U.S. House races by the new congressional districts.

Newsom 2018/Dahle 2022 (24)
Fresno: Fowler
Humboldt: Ferndale
Imperial: Imperial
Kern: Wasco
Kings: Corcoran
Lake: Lakeport
Los Angeles: La Mirada
Madera: Madera
Orange: Garden Grove
Riverside: Eastvale, Jurupa Valley, San Jacinto
San Bernardino: Chino, Highland
San Diego: Escondido
San Joaquin: Manteca
Santa Barbara: Santa Maria
Siskiyou: Weed
Stanislaus: Modesto, Newman, Riverbank
Sutter: Live Oak
Tulare: Dinuba
Ventura: Moorpark

Cox 2018/Newsom 2022 (4)
Los Angeles: San Marino
Riverside: Palm Desert
San Luis Obispo: Arroyo Grande
Ventura: Camarillo

2018-2022 swings by city coming up next.
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« Reply #67 on: February 24, 2023, 08:04:01 PM »

Here are the top 10 (so far) swings from 2018-2022 with racial demographics, median household income, and percentages of those who have a bachelor’s degree or higher:

Largest Democratic Swings
• Nevada City [81.25% Non-Hispanic White] {MHI $53,534} (36.2% BD+)
o   2018: Newsom 3,738 (66.69%) — Cox 1,867 (33.31%) = D+ 33.38
o   2022: Newsom 1,315 (75.06%) — Dahle 437 (24.94%) = D+ 50.12
•   SWING: D+ 16.74

• Amador [79.00% Non-Hispanic White] {MHI $58,000} (35.3% BD+)
o   2018: Newsom 66 (58.93%) — Cox 46 (41.07%) = D+ 17.86
o   2022: Newsom 80 (67.23%) — Dahle 39 (32.77%) = D+ 34.46
•   SWING: D+ 16.60

• Rancho Mirage [76.66% Non-Hispanic White] {MHI $95,158} (44.3% BD+)
o   2018: Newsom 4,470 (53.29%) — Cox 3,918 (46.71%) = D+ 06.58
o   2022: Newsom 5,933 (60.47%) — Dahle 3,878 (39.53%) = D+ 20.94
•   SWING: D+ 14.36

• Palm Springs [62.21% Non-Hispanic White] {MHI $61,597} (43.0% BD+)
o   2018: Newsom 15,180 (76.16%) — Cox 4,752 (23.84%) = D+ 52.32
o   2022: Newsom 16,238 (80.78%) — Dahle 3,863 (19.22%) = D+ 61.56
•   SWING: D+ 09.24

• Moraga [61.89% Non-Hispanic White] {MHI $167,784} (77.2% BD+)
o   2018: Newsom 5,655 (66.55%) — Cox 2,842 (33.45%) = D+ 33.10
o   2022: Newsom 5,606 (71.05%) — Dahle 2,284 (28.95%) = D+ 42.10
•   SWING: D+ 09.00

• Indian Wells [86.92% Non-Hispanic White] {MHI $120,680} (54.8% BD+)
o   2018: Cox 1,620 (67.98%) — Newsom 763 (32.02%) = R+ 35.96
o   2022: Dahle 1,589 (63.53%) — Newsom 912 (36.47%) = R+ 27.06
•   SWING: D+ 08.90
 
• Twenty-nine Palms [50.04% Non-Hispanic White] {MHI $46,887} (23.9% BD+)
o   2018: Cox 2,043 (58.37%) — Newsom 1,457 (41.63%) = R+ 16.74
o   2022: Dahle 1,741 (54.19%) — Newsom 1,472 (45.81%) = R+ 08.38
•   SWING: D+ 08.36
 
• Rio Vista [63.91% Non-Hispanic White] {MHI $76,423} (38.3% BD+)
o   2018: Newsom 2,690 (53.56%) — Cox 2,332 (46.44%) = D+ 07.12
o   2022: Newsom 3,062 (57.70%) — Dahle 2,245 (42.30%) = D+ 15.40
•   SWING: D+ 08.28
 
• Laguna Woods [69.18% Non-Hispanic White] {MHI $53,076} (51.5% BD+)
o   2018: Newsom 5,841 (51.44%) — Cox 5,513 (48.56%) = D+ 02.88
o   2022: Newsom 6,125 (55.52%) — Dahle 4,907 (44.48%) = D+ 11.04
•   SWING: D+ 08.16
 
• Sand City [50.46% Non-Hispanic White] {MHI $60,682} (39.0% BD+)
o   2018: Newsom 83 (61.48%) — Cox 52 (38.52%) = D+ 22.96
o   2022: Newsom 86 (64.66%) — Dahle 47 (35.34%) = D+ 29.32
•   SWING: D+ 06.36
 
• Pacific Grove [70.64% Non-Hispanic White] {MHI $92,980} (55.4% BD+)
o   2018: Newsom 5,638 (71.96%) — Cox 2,197 (28.04%) = D+ 43.92
o   2022: Newsom 5,445 (75.08%) — Dahle 1,807 (24.92%) = D+ 50.16
•   SWING: D+ 06.24

Largest Republican Swings
• Livingston [70.11% Hispanic/Latino] {MHI $68,958} (8.6% BD+)
o   2018: Newsom 2,003 (73.45%) — Cox 724 (26.55%) = D+ 46.90
o   2022: Newsom 1,445 (60.74%) — Dahle 934 (39.26%) = D+ 21.48
•   SWING: R+ 25.42
 
• Weed [57.72% Non-Hispanic White] {MHI $28,857} (11.1% BD+)
o   2018: Newsom 384 (54.31%) — Cox 323 (45.69%) = D+ 08.62
o   2022: Dahle 372 (58.31%) — Newsom 266 (41.69%) = R+ 16.62
•   SWING: R+ 25.24
 
• McFarland [94.99% Hispanic/Latino] {MHI $38,651} (3.7% BD+)
o   2018: Newsom 1,130 (70.32%) — Cox 477 (29.68%) = D+ 40.64
o   2022: Newsom 843 (58.70%) — Dahle 593 (41.30%) = D+ 17.40
•   SWING: R+ 23.24

• Gonzales [91.88% Hispanic/Latino] {MHI $73,906} (6.2% BD+)
o   2018: Newsom 1,229 (75.08%) — Cox 408 (24.92%) = D+ 50.16
o   2022: Newsom 861 (63.97%) — Dahle 485 (36.03%) = D+ 27.94
•   SWING: R+ 22.22
 
• Irwindale [90.76% Hispanic/Latino] {MHI $96,250} (21.0% BD+)
o   2018: Newsom 354 (74.37%) — Cox 122 (25.63%) = D+ 48.74
o   2022: Newsom 342 (63.33%) — Dahle 198 (36.67%) = D+ 26.66
•   SWING: R+ 22.08
 
• Farmersville [87.93% Hispanic/Latino] {MHI $48,262} (4.7% BD+)
o   2018: Newsom 1,018 (68.46%) — Cox 469 (31.54%) = D+ 36.92
o   2022: Newsom 698 (57.50%) — Dahle 516 (42.50%) = D+ 15.00
•   SWING: R+ 21.92
 
• Ceres [64.14% Hispanic/Latino] {MHI $64,153} (10.7% BD+)
o   2018: Newsom 7,003 (60.93%) — Cox 4,491 (39.07%) = D+ 21.86
o   2022: Newsom 4,365 (50.02%) — Dahle 4,362 (49.98%) = D+ 00.04
•   SWING: R+ 21.82
 
• Orange Cove [94.92% Hispanic/Latino] {MHI $28,626} (4.5% BD+)
o   2018: Newsom 968 (75.86%) — Cox 308 (24.14%) = D+ 51.72
o   2022: Newsom 624 (65.20%) — Dahle 333 (34.80%) = D+ 30.40
•   SWING: R+ 21.32
 
• Loyalton [76.08% Non-Hispanic White] {MHI $79,185} (19.6% BD+)
o   2018: Cox 196 (61.64%) — Newsom 122 (38.36%) = R+ 23.28
o   2022: Dahle 223 (72.17%) — Newsom 86 (27.83%) = R+ 44.34
•   SWING: R+ 21.06
 
• Live Oak [49.51% Hispanic/Latino] {MHI $62,974} (13.6% BD+)
o   2018: Newsom 1,000 (50.86%) — Cox 966 (49.14%) = D+ 01.72
o   2022: Dahle 1,246 (59.50%) — Newsom 848 (40.50%) = R+ 19.00
•   SWING: R+ 20.72

Note: I’m a little perplexed at Nevada City, simply due to the dramatic decrease in votes cast from 2018 to 2022. I’m not sure what’s to account for that, but the total votes cast in the 2021 recall vote in the city align much more closely to the number of votes cast in 2022 versus 2018.

Prop 1 results coming up next.
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« Reply #68 on: February 24, 2023, 08:42:45 PM »

Proposition 1 (Constitutional Right to Reproductive Freedom)
Highest YES %s
• Berkeley (95.59%)
• Emeryville (93.54%)
• Albany (93.20%)
• Oakland (92.81%)
• Point Arena (92.54%)
• Fairfax (92.18%)
• Mill Valley (91.98)
• El Cerrito (91.32%)
• West Hollywood (91.25%)
• Piedmont (90.33%)


Highest NO %s
• Taft (67.67%)
• Kingsburg (67.02%)
• Dorris (65.73%)
• Maricopa (62.79%)
• Ripon (62.27%)
• Canyon Lake (61.11%)
• Norco (61.05%)
• Exeter (59.51%)
• Yucaipa (58.91%)
• Escalon, Tulelake (58.72%)


Brian Dahle (R)/Yes Prop 1 Counties (20)
• Lake (Yes 62.40%, Dahle 51.46%)
• Inyo (Yes 59.34%, Dahle 54.77%)
• Trinity (Yes 59.27%, Dahle 58.91%)
• Butte (Yes 59.01%. Dahle 56.51%)
• San Joaquin (Yes 58.22%, Dahle 51.78%)
• Orange (Yes 57.16%, Dahle 51.49%)
• Riverside (Yes 56.50%, Dahle 52.17%)
• Placer (Yes 54.85%, Dahle 59.57%)
• El Dorado (Yes 54.13%, Dahle 61.05%)
• Plumas (Yes 53.82%, Dahle 64.29%)
• Fresno (Yes 53.44%, Dahle 55.08%)
• Merced (Yes 53.43%, Dahle 54.41%)
• San Bernardino (Yes 53.40%, Dahle 52.61%)
• Siskiyou (Yes 52.73%, Dahle 64.31%)
• Del Norte (Yes 51.52%, Dahle 61.03%)
• Sierra (Yes 51.24%, Dahle 65.72%)
• Tuolumne (Yes 51.15%, Dahle 63.53%)
• Mariposa (Yes 50.99%, Dahle 62.45%)
• Stanislaus (Yes 50.98%, Dahle 57.77%)
• Calaveras (Yes 50.64%, Dahle 66.56%)

No counties that voted for Gov. Gavin Newsom (D) voted no on Prop 1. Only one city (Holtville, Imperial County) that voted for Newsom voted no on Prop 1 (Newsom 52.06%, No 50.04%).

Brian Dahle (R)/Yes Prop 1 Cities (110)
I won’t list all 110 of them but I’ll list the top 25 and the bottom 10.

• Ferndale (Yes 64.45%, Dahle 52.48%)
• Palos Verdes Estates (Yes 63.47%, Dahle 52.74%)
• Folsom (Yes 63.22%, Dahle 52.32%)
• Lakeport (Yes 62.82%, Dahle 50.45%)
• Rolling Hills Estates (Yes 61.51%, Dahle 51.76%)
• Solvang (Yes 61.11%, Dahle 51.50%)
• La Quinta (Yes 60.98%, Dahle 53.58%)
• Buellton (Yes 60.88%, Dahle 50.74%)
• Pismo Beach (Yes 60.29%, Dahle 51.27%)
• Moorpark (Yes 60.12%, Dahle 50.33%)
• Coronado (Yes 59.87%, Dahle 53.11%)
• Placerville (Yes 59.78%, Dahle 53.27%)
• Fortuna (Yes 59.44%, Dahle 59.48%)
• Seal Beach (Yes 59.43%, Dahle 50.97%)
• Vacaville (Yes 59.19%, Dahle 53.63%)
• Lompoc (Yes 59.09%, Dahle 51.24%)
• Auburn (Yes 58.91%, Dahle 53.29%)
• Weed (Yes 58.91%, Dahle 58.31%)
• Santa Clarita (Yes 58.54%, Dahle 52.09%)
• Citrus Heights (Yes 58.49%, Dahle 56.69%)
• Manteca (Yes 58.22%, Dahle 53.16%)
• Twenty-nine Palms (Yes 58.17%, Dahle 54.19%)
• Poway (Yes 58.09%, Dahle 53.25%)
• Laguna Niguel (Yes 57.79%, Dahle 53.27%)
• Bradbury (Yes 57.74%, Dahle 58.97%)
• Lake Forest (Yes 57.45%, Dahle 51.80%)
. . . . . .
• Gridley (Yes 50.98%, Dahle 63.67%)
• Porterville (Yes 50.96%, Dahle 57.77%)
• Wasco (Yes 50.88%, Dahle 50.45%)
• Lodi (Yes 50.72%, Dahle 63.12%)
• Chino Hills (Yes 50.51%, Dahle 54.88%)
• Dos Palos (Yes 50.50%, Dahle 53.85%)
• Gustine (Yes 50.49%, Dahle 57.84%)
• Riverbank (Yes 50.35%, Dahle 58.07%)
• Imperial (Yes 50.29%, Dahle 54.64%)
• Bakersfield (Yes 50.11%, Dahle 59.93%)

Lowest Yes % in Cities Won By Gavin Newsom (D)
• Farmersville (Yes 56.48%, Newsom 57.50%)
• Kerman (Yes 56.04%, Newsom 50.31%)
• Ceres (Yes 55.85%, Newsom 50.02%)
• Sanger (Yes 55.55%, Newsom 52.93%)
• Westmorland (Yes 55.18%, Newsom 61.31%)
• La Habra (Yes 55.00%, Newsom 50.08%)
• El Centro (Yes 54.03%, Newsom 57.21%)
• Brawley (Yes 52.82%, Newsom 53.17%)
• Selma (Yes 52.47%, Newsom 50.46%)
• McFarland (Yes 51.93%, Newsom 58.70%)
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #69 on: February 24, 2023, 09:49:03 PM »

Thanks for posting those maps.

I wonder if the rise of the SoCal democrats portends good news for Katie Porter - when's the last time both Senators were Southern Californians?

The 60's, and both were Republicans too! One of them was an actor.
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« Reply #70 on: March 08, 2023, 01:45:14 PM »

So I’ve been able to track down most of the municipal results in California for the 2022 midterm election on my own. I’m only missing cities in Colusa (2: Colusa, Williams), Del Norte (1: Crescent City), Plumas (1: Portola), Tehama (3: Corning, Red Bluff, Tehama), and Tuolumne (1: Sonora) counties, so take these results with a grain of salt as there are still eight cities still outstanding for which I don’t have any results.

First, here's a look at how the cities that flipped from 2016 to 2020 in the presidential elections voted.

Donald J. Trump 2016/Joe Biden 2020 Cities (19)
• Crescent City (Trump+ 01.46, Biden+ 02.20)
o   CA-GOV: No data available
o   CA-SEN: No data available
 
• Placerville (Trump+ 00.07, Biden+ 05.19)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 2,156 (53.27%) — Newsom 1,891 (46.73%) = R+ 06.54
o   CA-SEN: Padilla 2,006 (50.39%) — Meuser 1,975 (49.61%) = D+ 00.78

• Bradbury (Trump+ 00.79, Biden+ 04.80)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 184 (58.97%) — Newsom 128 (41.03%) = R+ 17.94
o   CA-SEN: Meuser 178 (57.05%) — Padilla 134 (42.95%) = R+ 14.10

• La Verne (Trump+ 00.70, Biden+ 03.01)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 6,752 (54.53%) — Newsom 5,631 (45.47%) = R+ 09.06
o   CA-SEN: Meuser 6,428 (51.94%) — Padilla 5,949 (48.06%) = R+ 03.88

• Brea (Trump+ 03.62, Biden+ 02.98)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 9,057 (55.65%) — Newsom 7,219 (44.35%) = R+ 11.30
o   CA-SEN: Meuser 8,835 (53.88%) — Padilla 7,564 (46.12%) = R+ 07.76

• Laguna Hills (Trump+ 01.36, Biden+ 05.85)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 6,267 (52.92%) — Newsom 5,575 (47.08%) = R+ 05.84
o   CA-SEN: Meuser 6,234 (51.97%) — Padilla 5,761 (48.03%) = R+ 03.94

• Laguna Niguel (Trump+ 01.72, Biden+ 04.70)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 14,969 (53.27%) — Newsom 13,129 (46.73%) = R+ 06.54
o   CA-SEN: Meuser 14,868 (51.94%) — Padilla 13,760 (48.06%) = R+ 03.88

• Lake Forest (Trump+ 00.76, Biden+ 06.98)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 15,471 (51.80%) — Newsom 14,393 (48.20%) = R+ 03.60
o   CA-SEN: Meuser 15,360 (50.76%) — Padilla 14,901 (49.24%) = R+ 01.52
 
• Mission Viejo (Trump+ 05.97, Biden+ 01.98)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 21,916 (54.93%) — Newsom 17,984 (45.07%) = R+ 08.96
o   CA-SEN: Meuser 21,549 (53.27%) — Padilla 18,906 (46.73%) = R+ 06.54
 
• Banning (Trump+ 02.95, Biden+ 02.43)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 4,550 (54.02%) — Newsom 3,873 (45.98%) = R+ 08.04
o   CA-SEN: Meuser 4,318 (52.25%) — Padilla 3,946 (47.75%) = R+ 04.50
   
• Hemet (Trump+ 08.86, Biden+ 00.45)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 10,931 (54.49%) — Newsom 9,131 (45.51%) = R+ 08.98
o   CA-SEN: Meuser 10,503 (53.30%) — Padilla 9,203 (46.70%) = R+ 06.60

• La Quinta (Trump+ 06.66, Biden+ 01.95)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 8,313 (53.58%) — Newsom 7,201 (46.42%) = R+ 07.16
o   CA-SEN: Meuser 8,012 (52.48%) — Padilla 7,254 (47.52%) = R+ 04.96

• Lake Elsinore (Trump+ 02.19, Biden+ 01.32)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 8,102 (55.45%) — Newsom 6,509 (44.55%) = R+ 10.90
o   CA-SEN: Meuser 7,709 (53.68%) — Padilla 6,652 (46.32%) = R+ 07.36

• Palm Desert (Trump+ 02.00, Biden+ 07.60)
o   CA-GOV: Newsom 10,547 (51.84%) — Dahle 9,799 (48.16%) = D+ 03.68
o   CA-SEN: Padilla 10,564 (52.76%) — Meuser 9,460 (47.24%) = D+ 05.52

• Coronado (Trump+ 02.14, Biden+ 07.26)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 3,996 (53.11%) — Newsom 3,528 (46.89%) = R+ 06.22
o   CA-SEN: Meuser 3,862 (51.70%) — Padilla 3,608 (48.30%) = R+ 03.40

• Poway (Trump+ 04.55, Biden+ 04.58)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 11,072 (53.25%) — Newsom 9,721 (46.75%) = R+ 06.50
o   CA-SEN: Meuser 10,512 (51.28%) — Padilla 9,986 (48.72%) = R+ 02.56

• Atascadero (Trump+ 04.17, Biden+ 01.50)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 7,246 (54.49%) — Newsom 6,052 (45.51%) = R+ 08.98
o   CA-SEN: Meuser 6,837 (52.11%) — Padilla 6,283 (47.89%) = R+ 04.22

• Solvang (Trump+ 01.18, Biden+ 08.86)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 1,393 (51.50%) — Newsom 1,312 (48.50%) = R+ 03.00
o   CA-SEN: Padilla 1,344 (50.22%) — Meuser 1,332 (49.78%) = D+ 00.44

• Simi Valley (Trump+ 04.02, Biden+ 00.89)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 26,224 (54.90%) — Newsom 21,542 (45.10%) = R+ 09.80
o   CA-SEN: Meuser 25,186 (53.52%) — Padilla 21,869 (46.48%) = R+ 07.04

Hillary Rodham Clinton 2016/Donald J. Trump 2020 Cities (3)
• Fountain Valley (Clinton+ 00.31, Trump+ 03.87)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 11,510 (54.53%) — Newsom 9,598 (45.47%) = R+ 09.06
o   CA-SEN: Meuser 11,704 (54.69%) — Padilla 9,695 (45.31%) = R+ 09.38

• Westminster (Clinton+ 15.37, Trump+ 09.15)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 13,100 (53.74%) — Newsom 11,278 (46.26%) = R+ 07.48
o   CA-SEN: Meuser 13,630 (55.68%) — Padilla 10,851 (44.32%) = R+ 11.36

• Porterville (Clinton+ 01.59, Trump+ 00.33)
o   CA-GOV: Dahle 5,455 (57.77%) — Newsom 3,987 (42.23%) = R+ 15.54
o   CA-SEN: Meuser 5,205 (55.47%) — Padilla 4,178 (44.53%) = R+ 10.94

Secondly, here are some red-to-blue and blue-to-red (flipped) cities in the gubernatorial election between incumbent Gov. Gavin C. Newsom (D) and State Senator Brian D. Dahle (R). I also have municipal results for all of the other statewide races (Lieutenant Governor, Secretary of State, State Controller, State Treasurer, Attorney General, State Insurance Commissioner, and U.S. Senator) if anyone is interested in seeing any of those (will try to promptly respond to as many individual requests as I get for those). I also have individual city results for all of the U.S. House races by the new congressional districts.

Newsom 2018/Dahle 2022 (24)
Fresno: Fowler
Humboldt: Ferndale
Imperial: Imperial
Kern: Wasco
Kings: Corcoran
Lake: Lakeport
Los Angeles: La Mirada
Madera: Madera
Orange: Garden Grove
Riverside: Eastvale, Jurupa Valley, San Jacinto
San Bernardino: Chino, Highland
San Diego: Escondido
San Joaquin: Manteca
Santa Barbara: Santa Maria
Siskiyou: Weed
Stanislaus: Modesto, Newman, Riverbank
Sutter: Live Oak
Tulare: Dinuba
Ventura: Moorpark

Cox 2018/Newsom 2022 (4)
Los Angeles: San Marino
Riverside: Palm Desert
San Luis Obispo: Arroyo Grande
Ventura: Camarillo

2018-2022 swings by city coming up next.
How'd Biden do in Camarillo? I'm kinda surprised it flipped this year, grandpa on my mom's side lived there till he passed, whenever I visited it definitely gave country club republican vibes.
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« Reply #71 on: April 12, 2023, 10:20:33 AM »

How'd Biden do in Camarillo? I'm kinda surprised it flipped this year, grandpa on my mom's side lived there till he passed, whenever I visited it definitely gave country club republican vibes.

Here are the results for Camarillo for 2012, 2016, and 2020.

CAMARILLO
2012 (R+ 06.30)
Romney 16,795 (52.08%)
Obama 14,762 (45.78%)
Johnson 367 (1.14%)
Stein 143 (0.44%)
Hoefling 99 (0.31%)
Roseanne 80 (0.25%)

2016 (D+ 04.32)
Clinton 16,239 (47.65%)
Trump 14,764 (43.33%)
Johnson 1,559 (4.57%)
Write-ins 896 (2.63%)
Stein 507 (1.49%)
La Riva 112 (0.33%)

2020 (D+ 09.79)
Biden 22,269 (53.79%)
Trump 18,214 (44.00%)
Jorgensen 556 (1.34%)
Hawkins 153 (0.37%)
De La Fuente 117 (0.28%)
La Riva 74 (0.18%)
Write-ins 14 (0.03%)
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« Reply #72 on: April 14, 2023, 05:05:41 AM »
« Edited: April 14, 2023, 05:24:40 AM by Interlocutor »

Some supplementals were uploaded on the CA Secretary of State site.

Districts with all-Dem candidates are grayed out. For the lists below, I only included D/R races (CD-10 was a Dem/Green contest). Finally, Padilla bested Newsom in every house district so no map for that comparison.

House Dem  vs.  Gov. Gavin Newsom




Biggest House Dem overperformance vs Newsom
1. CD-9 (Harder)         +7.3  (54.8 - 47.5)
2. CD-1 (LaMalfa)        +5.2  (37.9 - 32.8 )
3. CD-25 (Ruiz)            +4.8  (57.4 - 52.5)
4. CD-7  (Matsui)         +4.5  (68.3 - 63.8 )
5. CD-4  (Thompson)   +4.5  (67.8 - 63.3)

Biggest House Dem underperformance vs Newsom
1. CD-27 (Garcia)     -2.4   (46.8 - 49.1)
2. CD-11 (Pelosi)     -2.2   (84.0 - 86.1)
3. CD-45 (Steel)       -1.4   (47.6 - 49.0)
4. CD-40 (Kim)         -1.4   (43.2 - 44.6)
5. CD-43 (Waters)    -1.0   (77.3 - 78.3)





House Dem  vs.  Sen. Alex Padilla



Biggest House Dem overperformance vs Padilla
1. CD-9 (Harder)        +4.1    (54.8 - 50.8 )
2. CD-25 (Ruiz)          +2.8    (57.4 - 54.6)
3. CD-7 (Matsui)         +2.2   (68.3 - 66.1)
4. CD-4 (Thompson)   +2.2   (67.8 - 65.7)
5. CD-52(Vargas)        +1.9   (66.7 - 64.8 )

Biggest House Dem underperformance vs Padilla
1. CD-27 (Garcia)     -4.7   (46.8 - 51.5)
2. CD-22 (Valadao)  -2.8   (48.5 - 51.2)
3. CD-40 (Kim)         -2.7   (43.2 - 45.9)
4. CD-43 (Waters)   -2.7   (77.3 - 80.0)
5. CD-11 (Pelosi)     -2.5   (84.0 - 86.5)
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« Reply #73 on: April 15, 2023, 06:50:54 PM »

Kudos to Xahar for compiling this list of swings and trends in the last two CA-GOV races

Instead of just airily gesturing at "traditional values" of Asian voters, let's look at hard data about Asian voters in California. I've presented here in a convenient table the results of the 2018 and 2022 gubernatorial elections in every majority-Asian municipality in California. They're even helpfully arranged by Asian percentage for you to see. There's also a trend column which shows the swing between 2018 and 2022 compared to the statewide swing between 2018 and 2022.


CityPct Asian20182022SwingTrend
BAY AREA
Milpitas73.4%D+38.9D+33.9R+5D+0.5
Cupertino69.9%D+43.4D+41.2R+2.2D+3.4
Fremont64.7%D+42.3D+39.5R+2.8D+2.8
Union City61.9%D+54.8D+47.6R+7.3R+1.7
Daly City61.0%D+56.9D+53.1R+3.8D+1.7
Foster City54.7%D+43.5D+45.6D+2.2D+7.7
Saratoga54.4%D+30.2D+30.3D+0.2D+5.7
Millbrae53.9%D+33.2D+33.3D+0.1D+5.6
Dublin53.7%D+37.9D+38.6D+0.7D+6.2
Sunnyvale52.4%D+49.5D+50D+0.5D+6
San Ramon51.2%D+29.9D+32.2D+2.3D+7.8
Hercules50.6%D+56.3D+55.4R+0.9D+4.6
LOS ANGELES
Monterey Park69.6%D+36.1D+33.1R+3D+2.6
Walnut69.2%D+13.6D+11R+2.6D+2.9
Rosemead67.0%D+44.4D+32.7R+11.6R+6.1
San Gabriel66.4%D+32.1D+24R+8.1R+2.5
Arcadia65.9%D+6.6D+4R+2.6D+3
Cerritos65.2%D+19D+16.4R+2.6D+3
Temple City65.1%D+11.8D+7.9R+4D+1.6
San Marino62.9%R+3.3D+1.4D+4.8D+10.3
Diamond Bar60.8%D+9.4D+4.9R+4.5D+1.1
Alhambra54.9%D+43.8D+38R+5.8R+0.3
Westminster54.4%R+2.2R+7.5R+5.3D+0.3
La Palma53.4%D+1D+3.3D+2.3D+7.8

As you can see, even though Newsom's performance was meaningfully worse in 2022 than in 2018, many majority-Asian municipalities actually swung toward him, and the ones that did not showed a smaller swing than the state as a whole. Based on these findings, if you must say something about trends among Asians in California, it would be much more honest and accurate to conclude that Asians are a Democratic-trending demographic.

I'm aware of Rosemead in Metro LA and how working-class/blue-collar/non-college it is thanks to sbane's commentary on 2020-PRES. San Gabriel is in the eponymous San Gabriel Valley which is known for being heavily ethnic Chinese, but its school district has received accolades for outstanding academic performance which implies the city's citizens are at least decently well off, so that confounds the partial socioeconomic class realignment explanation we see with Rosemead.

I'm not familiar enough with the East Bay to have a good sense of why Union City trended R, but a quick glance at the city's Wiki page says the city's Asian popuation is plurality Filipino. The city doesn't seem particularly poor or affluent relative to other cities in Alameda County, but I'm sure the Bay Area locals know better than I do.
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bayareabay
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« Reply #74 on: May 26, 2023, 05:08:00 PM »

This state is becoming red-pilled. I live in San Francisco and voters here are turning on the Democratic Party over concerns about crime and homelessness they've been tricked into thinking are the result of democratic or progressive leadership.

My favorite question to local: any Republicans elected on county and city (>-10000) posts in Bay Area? Perusing 9 counties results i don't see any - Democrats and Indies only.....
Jeol Engardio and Matt Dorsey were elected to San Francisco BOS as Republicans
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