2022 with senate and gubernatorial results switched

[bagelman]

Senate:

Republican gains: Georgia, New Hampshire, Nevada (Kemp, Sununu, Lombardo)

Democratic gains: Pennsylvania, Wisconsin (Shapiro, Evers)

Special case: Phil Scott (R-VT), if he wins, would not caucus with Mitch McConnell and would essentially be another Angus King.

Overall R+1 (R gains chamber)

Gubernatorial:

Republican gains: Kansas, Nevada, Wisconsin (Moran, Laxalt, Johnson)

Democratic gains: Arizona, Georgia, Maryland, Mass., New Hampshire, Ohio*, Vermont (Kelly, Warnock, Hollen, Healey, Hassan, Ryan*, Welch)

(Ohio is imaginable, and I flipped it for the fun of it on my thread, but I could see blind partisanship still winning out as our state continues to decline)

Overall: D+4

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Wouldn’t Dems flip KS senate in this scenario

[bagelman]

Wouldn’t Dems flip KS senate in this scenario

Partisanship is more important for Senatorial races, so while Kelly would overpreform I don't think she'd actually win.