Will any latino group trend D in the next years?

[Red Wall]

My only bet is Salvadorans who dislike Bukele and flee to the US or Guatemalans but nothing else when the map of the Americas looks like this (I know there is no nuance but it does its job, after all a latin american who hates the left sees Cuba and Canada as the same).


Overall with basically every latin american country with a left aligned president that will probably mean a heavy influx of right wing latinos to the US so we could see the latino vote getting even more R.

[pbrower2a]

Cuban-Americans whom Trump courted with anti-Castro rhetoric.

First of all, Cuban-Americans are going to have the black-white split that ensures that they will be treated differently in economic opportunities. More recent Cuban Americans are less "white" than those who fled Castro early.

Second, Cuban-Americans are getting better educated, which ensures assimilation into other groups of well-educated people. Unless the GOP quickly abandons its anti-intellectual demagoguery, educated Cuban-Americans who have more stake in the American future than the Cuban future are going to drift D. This may include Afro-Cubans in America. 

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Cuban-Americans whom Trump courted with anti-Castro rhetoric.

First of all, Cuban-Americans are going to have the black-white split that ensures that they will be treated differently in economic opportunities. More recent Cuban Americans are less "white" than those who fled Castro early.

Second, Cuban-Americans are getting better educated, which ensures assimilation into other groups of well-educated people. Unless the GOP quickly abandons its anti-intellectual demagoguery, educated Cuban-Americans who have more stake in the American future than the Cuban future are going to drift D. This may include Afro-Cubans in America. 

Yeah, ironically Cubans are the most likely to trend D. Because in addition to the specific factors you mention, the fact that they swung R means there is more potential ground that can be made up than with other groups.