MT-Sen 2024 Megathread: Unbeatable Titan Tester
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Author Topic: MT-Sen 2024 Megathread: Unbeatable Titan Tester  (Read 28337 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #125 on: April 11, 2023, 09:38:45 PM »
Rev Barber already said Triage IA and FL as my Pred map shows I am talking about DeSantis is now losing by 7 he got a Sandy Bump that's not shown up in the Primary and GE polls

If Trump and DeSantis lose by 7 that's 380 EC votes like 2008 Filibuster proof Trifecta, Trump definitely will lose by 7 but DeSantis may keep it closer to 303 with Trump Indictments
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TML
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« Reply #126 on: April 12, 2023, 09:40:11 PM »
538 just published an article stating that even if the top-two voting system had been applied retroactively to Tester's past Senate elections, it still wouldn't have guaranteed his Republican opponents victories against Tester, since they would have had to win the overwhelming majority of Libertarian voters in 2006 and 2012 in order to win against Tester (which was by no means guaranteed).
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Zedonathin2020
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« Reply #127 on: April 19, 2023, 12:36:16 AM »
BREAKING:



I’ve seen enough. Jon Tester will be re-elected senator from the state of Montana
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Pollster
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« Reply #128 on: April 19, 2023, 03:15:33 PM »
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #129 on: April 19, 2023, 03:25:54 PM »
Good 👍
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Shaula🏳️‍⚧️
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« Reply #130 on: April 20, 2023, 08:28:34 AM »
No idea what Rosendale is doing going to Trump speeches at Mar-a-Lago but not endorsing him. If you want his endorsement you're gonna have to endorse him first.
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Woody
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« Reply #131 on: April 20, 2023, 03:29:32 PM »
I think Trump will endorse Sheehy over Rosendale. Especially after Rosendale's debacle during the Speaker vote.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #132 on: April 20, 2023, 03:54:48 PM »
« Edited: April 20, 2023, 04:07:50 PM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »
Quote from: Woody on April 20, 2023, 03:29:32 PM
I think Trump will endorse Sheehy over Rosendale. Especially after Rosendale's debacle during the Speaker vote.


Sheeley was losing to Tester in the only poll that was taken, Tester isc@50 like Brown is in Approvals
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #133 on: April 20, 2023, 05:07:23 PM »
Quote from: Zedonathin2020 on April 19, 2023, 12:36:16 AM
BREAKING:



I’ve seen enough. Jon Tester will be re-elected senator from the state of Montana

Yes, yes, John Sununu's re-election was quite a remarkable thing, even as Obama really turned 'ol NH around...I mean, I thought Collins was something but that, wow...I guess that's what Dems get for nominating a former governor who already lost once...

Waita second...
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #134 on: April 26, 2023, 09:05:28 AM »
Interesting. Possibly somewhat politically motivated to show some independence from Biden as Tester seeks another term:
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #135 on: April 26, 2023, 09:06:43 AM »
Quote from: Sir Mohamed 🇺🇸 🇺🇦 on April 26, 2023, 09:05:28 AM
Interesting. Possibly somewhat politically motivated to show some independence from Biden as Tester seeks another term:


He should vote against them on the senate floor while driving a tractor /s
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #136 on: April 26, 2023, 09:10:45 AM »
This could be a good move, so long as he doesn’t go full MAGA like Donnelly or McCaskill did in 2018.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #137 on: April 26, 2023, 09:15:14 AM »
« Edited: April 26, 2023, 09:19:51 AM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »
Tester and Brown and Gallegos are Fav but we have FL, TX and MO as wave insurance for MT and WV all we need is OH and AZ the way Brown dispatched Renacci in 2018, ROD JOSEPH and John Love are the facs for FL and TX but no primary polls

TX poll is the second poll showing R weakness in FL and TX Emerson had FL tied a month ago

We still have Kunce in MO Hawley and Cruz are at 45

Rick Scott has been in tight races in every Edays

If Eday played out today I can see us losing WV and gaining a Seat or two in US Sen
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Pollster
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« Reply #138 on: June 09, 2023, 02:39:41 PM »
Hearing that Tim Sheehy has cold feet (due to the Trump stuff, and this was before the indictment/unsealing) but has not ruled out running yet.
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Pollster
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« Reply #139 on: June 16, 2023, 08:08:28 AM »
There's apparently been a full-court press to reassure Sheehy that most think has worked - he's once again expected to get in now.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #140 on: June 23, 2023, 01:27:07 PM »


Rosendale in
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #141 on: June 23, 2023, 01:28:43 PM »
Quote from: Ferguson97 on June 23, 2023, 01:27:07 PM

Rosendale in
good news or bad news for Tester?
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #142 on: June 23, 2023, 01:29:12 PM »

He already beat him in 2018.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #143 on: June 23, 2023, 01:31:52 PM »
Quote from: Atlasian AG Punxsutawney Phil on June 23, 2023, 01:28:43 PM
Quote from: Ferguson97 on June 23, 2023, 01:27:07 PM

Rosendale in
good news or bad news for Tester?

Very good news
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #144 on: June 23, 2023, 01:33:32 PM »
Quote from: The Address That Must Not be Named on June 23, 2023, 01:31:52 PM
Quote from: Atlasian AG Punxsutawney Phil on June 23, 2023, 01:28:43 PM
Quote from: Ferguson97 on June 23, 2023, 01:27:07 PM

Rosendale in
good news or bad news for Tester?

Very good news
I wish Matt Rosendale success in the primary.
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Pollster
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« Reply #145 on: June 23, 2023, 01:36:27 PM »
Expect Democrats to give a boost to Rosendale in this primary, his statewide numbers are purportedly atrocious.
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Unelectable Bystander
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« Reply #146 on: June 23, 2023, 02:47:43 PM »
Quote from: Pollster on June 23, 2023, 01:36:27 PM
Expect Democrats to give a boost to Rosendale in this primary, his statewide numbers are purportedly atrocious.

What is considered atrocious in this race?
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #147 on: June 23, 2023, 04:07:45 PM »
Higher turnout helps Republicans in Montana. Rosendale will win, probably by about 52-45 or something like that.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #148 on: June 24, 2023, 11:58:25 PM »
Quote from: SnowLabrador on June 23, 2023, 04:07:45 PM
Higher turnout helps Republicans in Montana. Rosendale will win, probably by about 52-45 or something like that.

Yeah in 2018, turnout dynamics clearly favored Democrats pretty heavily in MT. I wonder if Tester would've won with the same crossover appeal but on the 2020 electorate?

In order for Tester to have a chance here, Biden prolly needs to do a few points better in MT than he did in 2020, which starts with making further improvements in places like Helena, Missouri, Bozeman, Billings, and Boise.
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Greedo punched first
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« Reply #149 on: June 25, 2023, 12:04:08 AM »
Is it possible that the GOP nominee isn't Rosendale?
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